Santa Catarina 66%Draw 24%IAPE 10%Expected goals 1.74 – 0.53
66%
Betarazi pick
Santa Catarina to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.49 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.49Odds
Picks by market
ResultSanta Catarina to win ✓66% · @1.49
Double chanceSanta Catarina or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓55% · @1.48
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.59
Santa Catarina vs IAPE: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
00:00 WAT, Thursday 19 February: Santa Catarina v IAPE in the Copa Do Brasil, played at Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Catarina 1.7 xG, IAPE 0.5 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Catarina 66%, draw 24%, IAPE 10%.
GG/NG: NG (55%) at 1.48.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Santa Catarina to win (66%, odds 1.49). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Catarina 1–0 IAPE. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Catarina66%fair 1.51 · @1.49
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.55
IAPE10%fair 9.94 · @7.30
2.28Expected goals
1.74Santa Catarina xG
0.53IAPE xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–016%
0–010%
1–110%
3–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Santa Catarina 1.7 – 0.5 IAPE expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Catarina to win✓
66%
1.51
1.49
Double chance
Santa Catarina or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.04
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
55%
1.80
1.48
Draw no bet
Santa Catarina (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Santa Catarina -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Santa Catarina to score first✓
69%
1.46
–
Half-time result
Santa Catarina ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Catarina / FT Santa Catarina✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.59
–
Recent results
Santa Catarina
No recent results on record.
IAPE
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Catarina and IAPE.
What is the prediction for Santa Catarina vs IAPE?
Our pick is Santa Catarina to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.49.
Who will win Santa Catarina vs IAPE?
On our numbers Santa Catarina have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and IAPE 10%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Catarina vs IAPE?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Catarina vs IAPE?
Our predicted score is Santa Catarina 1–0 IAPE, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Santa Catarina vs IAPE?
Santa Catarina vs IAPE (Copa Do Brasil) kicks off on Thursday 19 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Alfredo Joao Krieck.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.