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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

IFK Umeå v IFK Luleå: numbers & prediction

IFK Umeå 10%Draw 16%IFK Luleå 74% Expected goals 0.88 – 2.58
74%
Betarazi pick

IFK Luleå to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultIFK Luleå to win ✓74% · @1.20
Double chanceIFK Luleå or draw ✓90% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.87

IFK Umeå vs IFK Luleå: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

IFK Luleå travel to face IFK Umeå on Saturday 18 April in the Division 2 Norrland – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, IFK Umeå are 7th, upper half, on 4 points after 12 matches; IFK Luleå are 3rd (among the top four) with 25. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give IFK Umeå 0.9 xG, IFK Luleå 2.6 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 67% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – IFK Umeå 10%, draw 16%, IFK Luleå 74%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was IFK Luleå to win (74%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: IFK Umeå 0–2 IFK Luleå. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

IFK Umeå10%fair 9.96 · @9.50
Draw16%fair 6.28 · @5.50
IFK Luleå74%fair 1.35 · @1.20
3.47Expected goals
0.88IFK Umeå xG
2.58IFK Luleå xG
52%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–210%
1–29%
0–39%
0–18%
1–38%
1–17%

From our goals model: IFK Umeå 0.9 – 2.6 IFK Luleå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIFK Luleå to win ✓74%1.351.20
Double chanceIFK Luleå or draw ✓90%1.111.04
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓52%1.94–
Draw no betIFK Luleå (draw no bet) ✓88%1.14–
Asian handicapIFK Luleå -1 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.37–
First team to scoreIFK Luleå to score first ✓72%1.39–
Half-time resultIFK Luleå ahead at half-time ✓55%1.82–
Half-time / full-timeHT IFK Luleå / FT IFK Luleå ✓51%1.98–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%10.87–

Recent results

IFK Umeå

No recent results on record.

IFK Luleå

No recent results on record.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between IFK Umeå and IFK Luleå.

IFK Umeå vs IFK Luleå head-to-head page →

Division 2 Norrland table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Skellefteå12831+1827
2Täfteå12813+2125
3IFK Luleå12813+1825
4Boden12453+117
5Umeå FC Akademi12255-1211
6Storfors12228-188
7IFK Umeå121110-284
1Kubikenborg12723+923
2Gottne12723+523
3Lucksta12534018
4IFK Östersund12453+317
5Friska Viljor12264+212
6Umea FF12255-411
7Fransta12237-159

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for IFK Umeå vs IFK Luleå?

Our pick is IFK Luleå to win with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win IFK Umeå vs IFK Luleå?

On our numbers IFK Umeå have a 10% chance of winning, the draw 16% and IFK Luleå 74%.

How many goals will there be in IFK Umeå vs IFK Luleå?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for IFK Umeå vs IFK Luleå?

Our predicted score is IFK Umeå 0–2 IFK Luleå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is IFK Umeå vs IFK Luleå?

IFK Umeå vs IFK Luleå (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.