Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultIFK Luleå to win ✗61% · @1.68
Double chanceIFK Luleå or draw ✓82% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.07
IFK Luleå vs Boden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
IFK Luleå welcome Boden for a Division 2 Norrland fixture on Sunday 10 May (13:00 WAT). In the table, IFK Luleå are 3rd, among the top four, on 25 points after 12 matches; Boden are 4th (among the top four) with 17.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give IFK Luleå 2.1 xG, Boden 1.0 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 60% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – IFK Luleå 61%, draw 21%, Boden 18%.
Lower-risk option: IFK Luleå or draw (82%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: IFK Luleå 2–1 Boden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
IFK Luleå61%fair 1.65 · @1.68
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.80
Boden18%fair 5.58 · @4.10
3.14Expected goals
2.09IFK Luleå xG
1.05Boden xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: IFK Luleå 2.1 – 1.0 Boden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
IFK Luleå to win✗
61%
1.65
1.68
Double chance
IFK Luleå or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.53
Draw no bet
IFK Luleå (draw no bet)
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
IFK Luleå -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
IFK Luleå to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
IFK Luleå ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT IFK Luleå / FT IFK Luleå✗
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.07
–
Recent results
IFK Luleå – last 2
WW
6 May
@ Storfors
5–1
W
18 Apr
@ IFK Umeå
2–1
W
3.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Boden – last 2
LW
6 May
@ Skellefteå
0–2
L
1 May
vs Storfors
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IFK Luleå and Boden.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win IFK Luleå vs Boden?
On our numbers IFK Luleå have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Boden 18%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Luleå vs Boden?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Luleå vs Boden?
Our predicted score is IFK Luleå 2–1 Boden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is IFK Luleå vs Boden?
IFK Luleå vs Boden (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Sunday 10 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
