IFK Umeå vs Boden: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
IFK Umeå welcome Boden for a Division 2 Norrland fixture on Saturday 23 May (12:00 WAT). In the table, IFK Umeå are 7th, upper half, on 4 points after 12 matches; Boden are 4th (among the top four) with 17. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
IFK Umeå, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Storfors, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Boden, last 3: DLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with IFK Luleå, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Boden, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.0 for IFK Umeå.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give IFK Umeå 1.1 xG, Boden 2.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – IFK Umeå 16%, draw 20%, Boden 64%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.58, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: IFK Umeå 1–2 Boden. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
IFK Umeå16%fair 6.37 · @6.75
Draw20%fair 5.03 · @4.40
Boden64%fair 1.55 · @1.36
3.31Expected goals
1.12IFK Umeå xG
2.19Boden xG
63%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–19%
0–29%
0–18%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: IFK Umeå 1.1 – 2.2 Boden expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boden to win
64%
1.55
1.36
Double chance
Boden or draw
84%
1.19
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
63%
1.58
1.67 ▲
Draw no bet
Boden (draw no bet)
80%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Boden -0.5 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
63%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
59%
1.71
1.57
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
76%
1.31
1.22
First team to score
Boden to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Boden ahead at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boden / FT Boden
40%
2.50
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
10%
10.20
–
Recent results
IFK Umeå – last 3
LLL
17 May
@ Storfors
1–3
L
6 May
vs Umeå FC Akademi
1–4
L
18 Apr
vs IFK Luleå
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Boden – last 3
DLW
10 May
@ IFK Luleå
1–1
D
6 May
@ Skellefteå
0–2
L
1 May
vs Storfors
2–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between IFK Umeå and Boden.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win IFK Umeå vs Boden?
On our numbers IFK Umeå have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Boden 64%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Umeå vs Boden?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Umeå vs Boden?
Our predicted score is IFK Umeå 1–2 Boden, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is IFK Umeå vs Boden?
IFK Umeå vs Boden (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
