Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 56% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultIFK Luleå to win ✓79% · @1.10
Double chanceIFK Luleå or draw ✓92% · fair 1.09
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.31
IFK Luleå vs IFK Umeå: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 30 May: IFK Luleå v IFK Umeå in the Division 2 Norrland. In the table, IFK Luleå are 3rd, among the top four, on 25 points after 12 matches; IFK Umeå are 7th (upper half) with 4. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
IFK Luleå, last 4: LDWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Täfteå, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
IFK Umeå, last 3: LLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Storfors, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours IFK Luleå, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.0 for IFK Umeå.
Head to head
When they last met (18 Apr 2026) it ended IFK Umeå 1–2 IFK Luleå.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give IFK Luleå 3.1 xG, IFK Umeå 0.8 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – IFK Luleå 79%, draw 12%, IFK Umeå 8%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: IFK Luleå 3–0 IFK Umeå. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
IFK Luleå79%fair 1.26 · @1.10
Draw12%fair 8.00 · @7.00
IFK Umeå8%fair 12.37 · @21.00
3.90Expected goals
3.06IFK Luleå xG
0.84IFK Umeå xG
56%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–010%
2–09%
3–18%
2–18%
4–07%
4–16%
From our goals model: IFK Luleå 3.1 – 0.8 IFK Umeå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win IFK Luleå vs IFK Umeå?
On our numbers IFK Luleå have a 79% chance of winning, the draw 12% and IFK Umeå 8%.
How many goals will there be in IFK Luleå vs IFK Umeå?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for IFK Luleå vs IFK Umeå?
Our predicted score is IFK Luleå 3–0 IFK Umeå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is IFK Luleå vs IFK Umeå?
IFK Luleå vs IFK Umeå (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
