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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Boden v Skellefteå: numbers & prediction

Boden

WDLW
1–1
FT
Boden 33%Draw 24%Skellefteå 42% Expected goals 1.38 – 1.53
78%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.29 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultSkellefteå to win ✗42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.37

Boden vs Skellefteå: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 13 June the Division 2 Norrland brings Boden against Skellefteå. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Boden are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 12 matches; Skellefteå are 1st (leading the league) with 27.

Current form

Boden, last 4: WDLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Storfors, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Skellefteå, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over IFK Umeå, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Skellefteå, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.8 for Boden.

Head to head

When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Skellefteå 2–0 Boden.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Boden 1.4 xG, Skellefteå 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Boden 33%, draw 24%, Skellefteå 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boden 1–1 Skellefteå. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Boden33%fair 2.99 · @2.85
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.40
Skellefteå42%fair 2.36 · @2.20
2.92Expected goals
1.38Boden xG
1.53Skellefteå xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%

From our goals model: Boden 1.4 – 1.5 Skellefteå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSkellefteå to win ✗42%2.362.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76%1.321.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.651.50
Draw no betSkellefteå (draw no bet)56%1.79–
Asian handicapBoden +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.291.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.781.65
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.531.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreSkellefteå to score first ✓50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Skellefteå / FT Skellefteå ✗24%4.12–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.37–

Recent results

Boden – last 4

WDLW
7 Jun@ Storfors2–0W
10 May@ IFK Luleå1–1D
6 May@ Skellefteå0–2L
1 Mayvs Storfors2–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Skellefteå – last 5

WWWWW
6 Junvs IFK Umeå3–0W
3 Jun@ Storfors3–1W
30 Mayvs Täfteå1–0W
6 Mayvs Boden2–0W
19 Apr@ Täfteå1–0W
2.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026Skellefteå v Boden2–0
Boden vs Skellefteå head-to-head page →

Division 2 Norrland table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Skellefteå12831+1827
2Täfteå12813+2125
3IFK Luleå12813+1825
4Boden12453+117
5Umeå FC Akademi12255-1211
6Storfors12228-188
7IFK Umeå121110-284
1Kubikenborg12723+923
2Gottne12723+523
3Lucksta12534018
4IFK Östersund12453+317
5Friska Viljor12264+212
6Umea FF12255-411
7Fransta12237-159

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Boden vs Skellefteå?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Boden vs Skellefteå?

On our numbers Boden have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Skellefteå 42%.

How many goals will there be in Boden vs Skellefteå?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Boden vs Skellefteå?

Our predicted score is Boden 1–1 Skellefteå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Boden vs Skellefteå?

Boden vs Skellefteå (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.