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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Boden v IFK Luleå: numbers & prediction

Boden

DWDLW
1–4
FT
Boden 28%Draw 25%IFK Luleå 46% Expected goals 1.32 – 1.78
61%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultIFK Luleå to win ✓46% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.62

Boden vs IFK Luleå: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

18:00 WAT, Monday 22 June: Boden v IFK Luleå in the Division 2 Norrland. In the table, Boden are 4th, among the top four, on 17 points after 12 matches; IFK Luleå are 3rd (among the top four) with 25.

Current form

Boden, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Skellefteå, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

IFK Luleå, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Storfors, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Head to head

When they last met (10 May 2026) it ended IFK Luleå 1–1 Boden.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Boden 1.3 xG, IFK Luleå 1.8 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Boden 28%, draw 25%, IFK Luleå 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boden 1–1 IFK Luleå. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Boden28%fair 3.54 · @3.50
Draw25%fair 3.92 · @3.00
IFK Luleå46%fair 2.16 · @2.00
3.10Expected goals
1.32Boden xG
1.78IFK Luleå xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
0–27%
2–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Boden 1.3 – 1.8 IFK Luleå expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultIFK Luleå to win ✓46%2.162.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.44
Draw no betIFK Luleå (draw no bet) ✓62%1.61–
Asian handicapBoden +1 (Asian handicap) ✗66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.231.14
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.671.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗61%1.651.57
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗78%1.281.22
First team to scoreIFK Luleå to score first ✓55%1.82–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.59–
Half-time / full-timeHT IFK Luleå / FT IFK Luleå ✓30%3.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.62–

Recent results

Boden – last 5

DWDLW
13 Junvs Skellefteå1–1D
7 Jun@ Storfors2–0W
10 May@ IFK Luleå1–1D
6 May@ Skellefteå0–2L
1 Mayvs Storfors2–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

IFK Luleå – last 6

LWLDWW
13 Junvs Storfors0–1L
30 Mayvs IFK Umeå6–1W
23 May@ Täfteå1–4L
10 Mayvs Boden1–1D
6 May@ Storfors5–1W
18 Apr@ IFK Umeå2–1W
2.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 May 2026IFK Luleå v Boden1–1
Boden vs IFK Luleå head-to-head page →

Division 2 Norrland table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Skellefteå12831+1827
2Täfteå12813+2125
3IFK Luleå12813+1825
4Boden12453+117
5Umeå FC Akademi12255-1211
6Storfors12228-188
7IFK Umeå121110-284
1Kubikenborg12723+923
2Gottne12723+523
3Lucksta12534018
4IFK Östersund12453+317
5Friska Viljor12264+212
6Umea FF12255-411
7Fransta12237-159

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Boden vs IFK Luleå?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Boden vs IFK Luleå?

On our numbers Boden have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 25% and IFK Luleå 46%.

How many goals will there be in Boden vs IFK Luleå?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Boden vs IFK Luleå?

Our predicted score is Boden 1–1 IFK Luleå, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Boden vs IFK Luleå?

Boden vs IFK Luleå (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Monday 22 June 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.