Skellefteå vs Umeå FC Akademi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 21 June the Division 2 Norrland brings Skellefteå against Umeå FC Akademi. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Skellefteå are 1st, leading the league, on 27 points after 12 matches; Umeå FC Akademi are 5th (upper half) with 11. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Skellefteå, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Boden, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Umeå FC Akademi, last 4: DLWL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with IFK Umeå, at home. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Skellefteå, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.0 for Umeå FC Akademi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Skellefteå 2.2 xG, Umeå FC Akademi 1.5 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 65% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Skellefteå 59%, draw 19%, Umeå FC Akademi 21%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (71%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Skellefteå 2–1 Umeå FC Akademi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Skellefteå59%fair 1.68 · @1.30
Draw19%fair 5.17 · @5.20
Umeå FC Akademi21%fair 4.72 · @6.80
3.69Expected goals
2.20Skellefteå xG
1.49Umeå FC Akademi xG
65%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–27%
3–17%
1–26%
2–06%
From our goals model: Skellefteå 2.2 – 1.5 Umeå FC Akademi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Skellefteå to win✓
59%
1.68
1.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.50
Draw no bet
Skellefteå (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Umeå FC Akademi +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
1.80
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
First team to score
Skellefteå to score first✓
58%
1.72
–
Half-time result
Skellefteå ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.41
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Skellefteå / FT Skellefteå✓
34%
2.93
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.11
–
Recent results
Skellefteå – last 6
DWWWWW
13 Jun
@ Boden
1–1
D
6 Jun
vs IFK Umeå
3–0
W
3 Jun
@ Storfors
3–1
W
30 May
vs Täfteå
1–0
W
6 May
vs Boden
2–0
W
19 Apr
@ Täfteå
1–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Umeå FC Akademi – last 4
DLWL
15 Jun
vs IFK Umeå
3–3
D
8 Jun
@ Täfteå
0–3
L
6 May
@ IFK Umeå
4–1
W
2 May
vs Täfteå
1–5
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Skellefteå and Umeå FC Akademi.
What is the prediction for Skellefteå vs Umeå FC Akademi?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Skellefteå vs Umeå FC Akademi?
On our numbers Skellefteå have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Umeå FC Akademi 21%.
How many goals will there be in Skellefteå vs Umeå FC Akademi?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Skellefteå vs Umeå FC Akademi?
Our predicted score is Skellefteå 2–1 Umeå FC Akademi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Skellefteå vs Umeå FC Akademi?
Skellefteå vs Umeå FC Akademi (Division 2 Norrland) kicks off on Sunday 21 June 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
