Olmaliq vs Sogdiana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Olmaliq welcome Sogdiana to OKMK Sport Majmuasi for a Super League fixture on Thursday 12 March (15:30 WAT). In the table, Olmaliq are 5th, upper half, on 45 points after 27 matches; Sogdiana are 12th (lower half) with 30. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olmaliq 1.7 xG, Sogdiana 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olmaliq 50%, draw 25%, Sogdiana 26%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olmaliq 1–1 Sogdiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olmaliq50%fair 2.01 · @2.05
Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.00
Sogdiana26%fair 3.90 · @3.25
2.78Expected goals
1.70Olmaliq xG
1.09Sogdiana xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
0–06%
From our goals model: Olmaliq 1.7 – 1.1 Sogdiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olmaliq to win✗
50%
2.01
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
75%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Draw no bet
Olmaliq (draw no bet)
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Sogdiana +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Olmaliq to score first✗
57%
1.75
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olmaliq / FT Olmaliq✗
32%
3.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.34
–
Recent results
Olmaliq – last 2
LL
6 Mar
@ Xorazm
0–1
L
1 Mar
vs Bunyodkor
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Sogdiana – last 2
LL
6 Mar
vs Nasaf
0–2
L
27 Feb
@ Andijan
0–4
L
0.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olmaliq and Sogdiana.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Olmaliq vs Sogdiana?
On our numbers Olmaliq have a 50% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Sogdiana 26%.
How many goals will there be in Olmaliq vs Sogdiana?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olmaliq vs Sogdiana?
Our predicted score is Olmaliq 1–1 Sogdiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Olmaliq vs Sogdiana?
Olmaliq vs Sogdiana (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 12 March 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at OKMK Sport Majmuasi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
