Value bet: Lokomotiv to win @ 3.00 – our chance 41% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +22%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv to win ✗41% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.89
Bunyodkor vs Lokomotiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv travel to face Bunyodkor on Thursday 2 April in the Super League, with Milliy Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Bunyodkor are 14th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 26 matches; Lokomotiv are 6th (upper half) with 43. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Bunyodkor, last 5: WDLWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Xorazm, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Lokomotiv, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Neftchi, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bunyodkor, collecting 1.6 points per game to 0.8 for Lokomotiv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bunyodkor 1.1 xG, Lokomotiv 1.5 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bunyodkor 34%, draw 26%, Lokomotiv 41%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Lokomotiv to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 41%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 2.10 – longer than our fair 1.79, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bunyodkor 1–1 Lokomotiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bunyodkor34%fair 2.98 · @2.20
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.88
Lokomotiv41%fair 2.46 · @3.00
2.63Expected goals
1.12Bunyodkor xG
1.50Lokomotiv xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–28%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bunyodkor 1.1 – 1.5 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv to win✗
41%
2.46
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv (draw no bet)✗
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Bunyodkor +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.14
–
First team to score
Lokomotiv to score first✗
53%
1.88
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv / FT Lokomotiv✗
27%
3.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.89
–
Recent results
Bunyodkor – last 5
WDLWD
18 Mar
@ Xorazm
2–1
W
11 Mar
@ Surkhon
0–0
D
6 Mar
vs Dinamo Samarqand
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Olmaliq
1–0
W
17 Feb
vs Gagra
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
60%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv – last 5
LDWLL
20 Mar
@ Neftchi
1–3
L
11 Mar
vs Kokand-1912
0–0
D
5 Mar
@ Mash'al
2–0
W
17 Feb
vs Spaeri
1–3
L
16 Feb
@ KAMAZ
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bunyodkor and Lokomotiv.
What is the prediction for Bunyodkor vs Lokomotiv?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.10.
Who will win Bunyodkor vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers Bunyodkor have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lokomotiv 41%.
How many goals will there be in Bunyodkor vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bunyodkor vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is Bunyodkor 1–1 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bunyodkor vs Lokomotiv?
Bunyodkor vs Lokomotiv (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 2 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Milliy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
