Xorazm 16%Draw 22%Neftchi 62%Expected goals 0.93 – 1.87
62%
Betarazi pick
Neftchi to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 55% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNeftchi to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceNeftchi or draw ✓84% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @2.20
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.12
Xorazm vs Neftchi: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Xorazm welcome Neftchi to Xorazm Stadium for a Super League fixture on Friday 24 April (15:00 WAT). In the table, Xorazm are 13th, lower half, on 26 points after 27 matches; Neftchi are 1st (leading the league) with 61. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Xorazm, last 5: DDWLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Kokand-1912, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Neftchi, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Bunyodkor, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Neftchi, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Xorazm.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xorazm 0.9 xG, Neftchi 1.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xorazm 16%, draw 22%, Neftchi 62%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Neftchi to win (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xorazm 0–1 Neftchi. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xorazm16%fair 6.25 · @6.50
Draw22%fair 4.51 · @3.70
Neftchi62%fair 1.62 · @1.44
2.79Expected goals
0.93Xorazm xG
1.87Neftchi xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–111%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
1–36%
From our goals model: Xorazm 0.9 – 1.9 Neftchi expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neftchi to win✓
62%
1.62
1.44
Double chance
Neftchi or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Neftchi (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Xorazm +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Neftchi to score first✓
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Neftchi ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neftchi / FT Neftchi✓
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Xorazm – last 6
DDWLDW
14 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–2
D
7 Apr
@ Lokomotiv
1–1
D
3 Apr
vs Dinamo Samarqand
2–1
W
18 Mar
vs Bunyodkor
1–2
L
11 Mar
@ Buxoro
1–1
D
6 Mar
vs Olmaliq
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Neftchi – last 6
WLWWWW
14 Apr
@ Bunyodkor
1–0
W
9 Apr
vs Pakhtakor
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs Lokomotiv
3–1
W
15 Mar
vs Pakhtakor
1–0
W
10 Mar
vs Andijan
3–0
W
5 Mar
@ Surkhon
3–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Xorazm and Neftchi.
Our pick is Neftchi to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Xorazm vs Neftchi?
On our numbers Xorazm have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Neftchi 62%.
How many goals will there be in Xorazm vs Neftchi?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xorazm vs Neftchi?
Our predicted score is Xorazm 0–1 Neftchi, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Xorazm vs Neftchi?
Xorazm vs Neftchi (Super League) kicks off on Friday 24 April 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Xorazm Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
