Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultPakhtakor to win ✗53% · @1.60
Double chancePakhtakor or draw ✓77% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lokomotiv travel to face Pakhtakor on Friday 17 July in the Super League, with Pakhtakor Central Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Pakhtakor are 2nd, among the top four, on 59 points after 27 matches; Lokomotiv are 6th (upper half) with 43. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pakhtakor, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Nasaf, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Lokomotiv, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Qizilqum, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pakhtakor, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Lokomotiv.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pakhtakor 1.7 xG, Lokomotiv 1.2 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pakhtakor 53%, draw 25%, Lokomotiv 23%.
Lower-risk option: Pakhtakor or draw (77%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.65, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pakhtakor 1–1 Lokomotiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pakhtakor53%fair 1.90 · @1.60
Draw25%fair 4.04 · @3.50
Lokomotiv23%fair 4.40 · @4.80
2.82Expected goals
1.66Pakhtakor xG
1.15Lokomotiv xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–08%
0–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Pakhtakor 1.7 – 1.2 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pakhtakor to win✗
53%
1.90
1.60
Double chance
Pakhtakor or draw✓
77%
1.29
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Pakhtakor (draw no bet)
70%
1.43
–
Asian handicap
Lokomotiv +1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Pakhtakor to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pakhtakor / FT Pakhtakor✗
30%
3.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Pakhtakor – last 6
DWWWWW
28 Apr
vs Nasaf
2–2
D
22 Apr
@ Buxoro
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs Mash'al
2–1
W
9 Apr
@ Neftchi
1–0
W
4 Apr
vs Olmaliq
3–1
W
20 Mar
@ Sogdiana
4–2
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv – last 6
WLWLWD
4 May
vs Qizilqum
1–0
W
27 Apr
@ Olmaliq
1–2
L
23 Apr
@ Nasaf
3–2
W
17 Apr
vs Navbahor
0–2
L
12 Apr
@ Dinamo Samarqand
2–1
W
7 Apr
vs Xorazm
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pakhtakor and Lokomotiv.
What is the prediction for Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers Pakhtakor have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Lokomotiv 23%.
How many goals will there be in Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is Pakhtakor 1–1 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv?
Pakhtakor vs Lokomotiv (Super League) kicks off on Friday 17 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
