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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Bunyodkor v Pakhtakor: numbers & prediction

Super League · Uzbekistan · Milliy Stadium
0–1
FT
Bunyodkor 18%Draw 23%Pakhtakor 58% Expected goals 0.94 – 1.78
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.67Odds

Picks by market

ResultPakhtakor to win ✓58% · @1.60
Double chancePakhtakor or draw ✓82% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.20

Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pakhtakor travel to face Bunyodkor on Sunday 26 July in the Super League, with Milliy Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Bunyodkor are 14th, in the drop zone, on 26 points after 26 matches; Pakhtakor are 2nd (among the top four) with 59. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Bunyodkor, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Buxoro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Pakhtakor, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Xorazm, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Pakhtakor, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.0 for Bunyodkor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Bunyodkor 0.9 xG, Pakhtakor 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Bunyodkor 18%, draw 23%, Pakhtakor 58%.
  • Lower-risk option: Pakhtakor or draw (82%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bunyodkor 1–1 Pakhtakor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Bunyodkor18%fair 5.42 · @4.60
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.50
Pakhtakor58%fair 1.71 · @1.60
2.71Expected goals
0.94Bunyodkor xG
1.78Pakhtakor xG
59%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
1–06%

From our goals model: Bunyodkor 0.9 – 1.8 Pakhtakor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPakhtakor to win ✓58%1.711.60
Double chancePakhtakor or draw ✓82%1.231.17
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.701.67
Draw no betPakhtakor (draw no bet) ✓76%1.32–
Asian handicapBunyodkor +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.48–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scorePakhtakor to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultPakhtakor ahead at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pakhtakor / FT Pakhtakor ✗35%2.82–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.20–

Recent results

Bunyodkor – last 6

LLLWLW
21 Jul@ Buxoro0–1L
16 Julvs Nasaf1–3L
3 May@ Kokand-19120–1L
29 Aprvs Navbahor2–1W
24 Aprvs Andijan1–3L
19 Apr@ Sogdiana3–2W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Pakhtakor – last 6

WDDWWW
21 Julvs Xorazm2–1W
17 Julvs Lokomotiv1–1D
28 Aprvs Nasaf2–2D
22 Apr@ Buxoro1–0W
13 Aprvs Mash'al2–1W
9 Apr@ Neftchi1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Bunyodkor and Pakhtakor.

Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi261943+3861
2Pakhtakor271782+2259
3Navbahor271674+2155
4Nasaf271296+1545
5Olmaliq271368+445
6Lokomotiv271278+1043
7Buxoro271269+442
8Dinamo Samarqand2710710+237
9Qizilqum2710512-735
10Surkhon2771010-931
11Andijan279414-631
12Sogdiana278613-930
13Xorazm276813-1526
14Bunyodkor268216-1626
15Kokand-1912275913-1324
16Mash'al271224-415

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor?

On our numbers Bunyodkor have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Pakhtakor 58%.

How many goals will there be in Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor?

Our predicted score is Bunyodkor 1–1 Pakhtakor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor?

Bunyodkor vs Pakhtakor (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Milliy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.