Buxoro 33%Draw 27%Lokomotiv 40%Expected goals 1.32 – 1.43
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.85 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.85Odds
Picks by market
ResultLokomotiv to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓73% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Buxoro vs Lokomotiv: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Buxoro welcome Lokomotiv to Buxoro FA Stadioni for a Super League fixture on Saturday 1 August (16:30 WAT). In the table, Buxoro are 7th, upper half, on 42 points after 27 matches; Lokomotiv are 6th (upper half) with 43. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Buxoro, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Andijan, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Lokomotiv, last 5: WDDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Sogdiana, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Lokomotiv, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Buxoro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Buxoro 1.3 xG, Lokomotiv 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Buxoro 33%, draw 27%, Lokomotiv 40%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.85 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buxoro 1–1 Lokomotiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Buxoro33%fair 3.00 · @2.90
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @2.88
Lokomotiv40%fair 2.51 · @2.25
2.75Expected goals
1.32Buxoro xG
1.43Lokomotiv xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%
From our goals model: Buxoro 1.3 – 1.4 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lokomotiv to win✗
40%
2.51
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
73%
1.37
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.69
1.85 ▲
Draw no bet
Lokomotiv (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
Buxoro +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Lokomotiv to score first
49%
2.05
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lokomotiv / FT Lokomotiv✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Buxoro – last 6
LWLWLL
27 Jul
@ Andijan
0–2
L
21 Jul
vs Bunyodkor
1–0
W
16 Jul
@ Neftchi
1–2
L
27 Apr
@ Mash'al
1–0
W
22 Apr
vs Pakhtakor
0–1
L
17 Apr
@ Olmaliq
2–3
L
0.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lokomotiv – last 6
WDDWLW
27 Jul
vs Sogdiana
3–1
W
22 Jul
vs Andijan
3–3
D
17 Jul
@ Pakhtakor
1–1
D
4 May
vs Qizilqum
1–0
W
27 Apr
@ Olmaliq
1–2
L
23 Apr
@ Nasaf
3–2
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Buxoro and Lokomotiv.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win Buxoro vs Lokomotiv?
On our numbers Buxoro have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Lokomotiv 40%.
How many goals will there be in Buxoro vs Lokomotiv?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buxoro vs Lokomotiv?
Our predicted score is Buxoro 1–1 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Buxoro vs Lokomotiv?
Buxoro vs Lokomotiv (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Buxoro FA Stadioni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
