Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 50% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNavbahor to win ✓66% · @1.40
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓87% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @2.15
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Navbahor vs Xorazm: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Sunday 2 August: Navbahor v Xorazm in the Super League, played at Markaziy Stadium. In the table, Navbahor are 3rd, among the top four, on 55 points after 27 matches; Xorazm are 13th (lower half) with 26. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Navbahor, last 5: DDLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Neftchi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Xorazm, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Surkhon, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Navbahor 1.8 xG, Xorazm 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Navbahor 66%, draw 21%, Xorazm 13%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.15.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.15 – the bookmaker implies 47%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Navbahor to win (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Navbahor 1–0 Xorazm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Navbahor66%fair 1.52 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @3.80
Xorazm13%fair 7.78 · @7.00
2.48Expected goals
1.83Navbahor xG
0.65Xorazm xG
50%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%
From our goals model: Navbahor 1.8 – 0.6 Xorazm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navbahor to win✓
66%
1.52
1.40
Double chance
Navbahor or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
2.15 ▲
Draw no bet
Navbahor (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.20
–
Asian handicap
Navbahor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Navbahor to score first
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Navbahor ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navbahor / FT Navbahor✓
42%
2.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Navbahor – last 6
DDLDLD
28 Jul
@ Neftchi
1–1
D
23 Jul
vs Qizilqum
1–1
D
17 Jul
vs Olmaliq
2–3
L
4 May
@ Nasaf
0–0
D
29 Apr
@ Bunyodkor
1–2
L
23 Apr
vs Sogdiana
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Xorazm – last 6
WLLLDL
28 Jul
vs Surkhon
1–0
W
21 Jul
@ Pakhtakor
1–2
L
16 Jul
@ Sogdiana
0–2
L
4 May
vs Andijan
0–3
L
29 Apr
@ Qizilqum
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Neftchi
0–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navbahor and Xorazm.
Our pick is Navbahor to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Navbahor vs Xorazm?
On our numbers Navbahor have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Xorazm 13%.
How many goals will there be in Navbahor vs Xorazm?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navbahor vs Xorazm?
Our predicted score is Navbahor 1–0 Xorazm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Navbahor vs Xorazm?
Navbahor vs Xorazm (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
