Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.07
Neftchi vs Qizilqum: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Saturday 8 August: Neftchi v Qizilqum in the Super League, played at Istiqlol Stadium. In the table, Neftchi are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 26 matches; Qizilqum are 9th (lower half) with 35. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Neftchi, last 5: DDWWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Dinamo Samarqand, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Qizilqum, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nasaf, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Neftchi, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Qizilqum.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Neftchi 1.8 xG, Qizilqum 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 49%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Neftchi 68%, draw 20%, Qizilqum 12%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (51%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neftchi 1–0 Qizilqum. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Neftchi68%fair 1.47 · @1.18
Draw20%fair 4.88 · @5.50
Qizilqum12%fair 8.68 · @13.00
2.56Expected goals
1.83Neftchi xG
0.73Qizilqum xG
49%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Neftchi 1.8 – 0.7 Qizilqum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Neftchi to win✓
68%
1.47
1.18
Double chance
Neftchi or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.57
Draw no bet
Neftchi (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Neftchi -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
74%
1.34
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.13
–
First team to score
Neftchi to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Neftchi ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Neftchi / FT Neftchi✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.07
–
Recent results
Neftchi – last 6
DDWWLD
3 Aug
@ Dinamo Samarqand
0–0
D
28 Jul
vs Navbahor
1–1
D
21 Jul
@ Sogdiana
5–1
W
16 Jul
vs Buxoro
2–1
W
8 Jul
@ Zenit
1–4
L
3 May
@ Olmaliq
0–0
D
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Qizilqum – last 6
LDLLDW
28 Jul
@ Nasaf
0–1
L
23 Jul
@ Navbahor
1–1
D
18 Jul
vs Dinamo Samarqand
1–2
L
4 May
@ Lokomotiv
0–1
L
29 Apr
vs Xorazm
0–0
D
24 Apr
vs Kokand-1912
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Neftchi and Qizilqum.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Neftchi vs Qizilqum?
On our numbers Neftchi have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Qizilqum 12%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi vs Qizilqum?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neftchi vs Qizilqum?
Our predicted score is Neftchi 1–0 Qizilqum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Neftchi vs Qizilqum?
Neftchi vs Qizilqum (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Istiqlol Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
