Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultPakhtakor to win ✗59% · @1.44
Double chancePakhtakor or draw ✓82% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Pakhtakor vs Buxoro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 6 August the Super League brings Pakhtakor against Buxoro at Pakhtakor Central Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Pakhtakor are 2nd, among the top four, on 59 points after 27 matches; Buxoro are 7th (upper half) with 42. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pakhtakor, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Andijan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Buxoro, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lokomotiv, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Pakhtakor, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Buxoro.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Buxoro 0–1 Pakhtakor.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pakhtakor 1.7 xG, Buxoro 0.9 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pakhtakor 59%, draw 23%, Buxoro 18%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pakhtakor to win (59%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pakhtakor 1–0 Buxoro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pakhtakor59%fair 1.69 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.75
Buxoro18%fair 5.45 · @5.50
2.63Expected goals
1.70Pakhtakor xG
0.93Buxoro xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
1–111%
2–010%
2–110%
0–07%
0–17%
From our goals model: Pakhtakor 1.7 – 0.9 Buxoro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Pakhtakor to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Pakhtakor vs Buxoro?
On our numbers Pakhtakor have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Buxoro 18%.
How many goals will there be in Pakhtakor vs Buxoro?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pakhtakor vs Buxoro?
Our predicted score is Pakhtakor 1–0 Buxoro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Pakhtakor vs Buxoro?
Pakhtakor vs Buxoro (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 6 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
