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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Surkhon v Navbahor: numbers & prediction

Super League · Uzbekistan · Stadion Surkhon

Surkhon

WLLWL
0–1
FT
Surkhon 18%Draw 28%Navbahor 54% Expected goals 0.69 – 1.34
54%
Betarazi pick

Navbahor to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.87 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultNavbahor to win ✓54% · @1.70
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓18% · fair 5.69

Surkhon vs Navbahor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Navbahor travel to face Surkhon on Friday 7 August in the Super League, with Stadion Surkhon the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Surkhon are 10th, lower half, on 31 points after 27 matches; Navbahor are 3rd (among the top four) with 55. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Surkhon, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kokand-1912, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Navbahor, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Xorazm, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Surkhon, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Navbahor.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Navbahor 2–0 Surkhon.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Surkhon 0.7 xG, Navbahor 1.3 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Surkhon 18%, draw 28%, Navbahor 54%.
  • Lower-risk option: Navbahor or draw (82%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Navbahor to win (54%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Surkhon 0–1 Navbahor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Surkhon18%fair 5.49 · @4.40
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.20
Navbahor54%fair 1.87 · @1.70
2.03Expected goals
0.69Surkhon xG
1.34Navbahor xG
49%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–118%
0–013%
1–112%
0–212%
1–09%
1–28%

From our goals model: Surkhon 0.7 – 1.3 Navbahor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNavbahor to win ✓54%1.871.70
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.981.75
Draw no betNavbahor (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapSurkhon +1 (Asian handicap)65%1.53–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗60%1.66–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓85%1.17–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓94%1.06–
First team to scoreNavbahor to score first ✓57%1.74–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗49%2.06–
Half-time / full-timeHT Navbahor / FT Navbahor ✓31%3.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓18%5.69–

Recent results

Surkhon – last 6

WLLWLW
3 Aug@ Kokand-19121–0W
28 Jul@ Xorazm0–1L
23 Julvs Dinamo Samarqand1–2L
18 Jul@ Andijan2–1W
28 Apr@ Sogdiana2–5L
22 Aprvs Mash'al2–1W
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Navbahor – last 6

WDDLDL
2 Augvs Xorazm5–1W
28 Jul@ Neftchi1–1D
23 Julvs Qizilqum1–1D
17 Julvs Olmaliq2–3L
4 May@ Nasaf0–0D
29 Apr@ Bunyodkor1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Apr 2026Navbahor v Surkhon2–0
Surkhon vs Navbahor head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi261943+3861
2Pakhtakor271782+2259
3Navbahor271674+2155
4Nasaf271296+1545
5Olmaliq271368+445
6Lokomotiv271278+1043
7Buxoro271269+442
8Dinamo Samarqand2710710+237
9Qizilqum2710512-735
10Surkhon2771010-931
11Andijan279414-631
12Sogdiana278613-930
13Xorazm276813-1526
14Bunyodkor268216-1626
15Kokand-1912275913-1324
16Mash'al271224-415

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Surkhon vs Navbahor?

Our pick is Navbahor to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Surkhon vs Navbahor?

On our numbers Surkhon have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Navbahor 54%.

How many goals will there be in Surkhon vs Navbahor?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Surkhon vs Navbahor?

Our predicted score is Surkhon 0–1 Navbahor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Surkhon vs Navbahor?

Surkhon vs Navbahor (Super League) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Surkhon.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.