Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.50
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✓18% · fair 5.69
Surkhon vs Navbahor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Navbahor travel to face Surkhon on Friday 7 August in the Super League, with Stadion Surkhon the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Surkhon are 10th, lower half, on 31 points after 27 matches; Navbahor are 3rd (among the top four) with 55. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Surkhon, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kokand-1912, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Navbahor, last 5: WDDLD Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Xorazm, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Surkhon, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Navbahor.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Apr 2026) it ended Navbahor 2–0 Surkhon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Surkhon 0.7 xG, Navbahor 1.3 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Surkhon 18%, draw 28%, Navbahor 54%.
Lower-risk option: Navbahor or draw (82%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Navbahor to win (54%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Surkhon 0–1 Navbahor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Surkhon18%fair 5.49 · @4.40
Draw28%fair 3.54 · @3.20
Navbahor54%fair 1.87 · @1.70
2.03Expected goals
0.69Surkhon xG
1.34Navbahor xG
49%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–013%
1–112%
0–212%
1–09%
1–28%
From our goals model: Surkhon 0.7 – 1.3 Navbahor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Navbahor to win with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Surkhon vs Navbahor?
On our numbers Surkhon have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Navbahor 54%.
How many goals will there be in Surkhon vs Navbahor?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Surkhon vs Navbahor?
Our predicted score is Surkhon 0–1 Navbahor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Surkhon vs Navbahor?
Surkhon vs Navbahor (Super League) kicks off on Friday 7 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Surkhon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.