Nasaf vs Pakhtakor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 16 August: Nasaf v Pakhtakor in the Super League, played at Markaziy Stadium. In the table, Nasaf are 4th, among the top four, on 45 points after 27 matches; Pakhtakor are 2nd (among the top four) with 59. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nasaf, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Kokand-1912, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Pakhtakor, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Al Hussein, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Apr 2026) it ended Pakhtakor 2–2 Nasaf.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nasaf 1.1 xG, Pakhtakor 1.3 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nasaf 34%, draw 24%, Pakhtakor 41%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nasaf 1–1 Pakhtakor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nasaf34%fair 2.90 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @2.88
Pakhtakor41%fair 2.42 · @2.30
2.41Expected goals
1.13Nasaf xG
1.28Pakhtakor xG
54%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–17%
From our goals model: Nasaf 1.1 – 1.3 Pakhtakor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Nasaf vs Pakhtakor?
On our numbers Nasaf have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Pakhtakor 41%.
How many goals will there be in Nasaf vs Pakhtakor?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nasaf vs Pakhtakor?
Our predicted score is Nasaf 1–1 Pakhtakor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Nasaf vs Pakhtakor?
Nasaf vs Pakhtakor (Super League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
