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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Surkhon v Sogdiana: numbers & prediction

Super League · Uzbekistan · Stadion Surkhon

Surkhon

LWLLW
1–3
FT
Surkhon 36%Draw 23%Sogdiana 41% Expected goals 1.48 – 1.61
63%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.60Odds

Picks by market

ResultSogdiana to win ✓41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.46

Surkhon vs Sogdiana: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Sogdiana travel to face Surkhon on Thursday 13 August in the Super League, with Stadion Surkhon the venue – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Surkhon are 10th, lower half, on 31 points after 27 matches; Sogdiana are 12th (lower half) with 30. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Surkhon, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Navbahor, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Sogdiana, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Andijan, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Sogdiana, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Surkhon.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Apr 2026) it ended Sogdiana 5–2 Surkhon.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Surkhon 1.5 xG, Sogdiana 1.6 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Surkhon 36%, draw 23%, Sogdiana 41%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.60.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Surkhon 1–1 Sogdiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Surkhon36%fair 2.81 · @2.80
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.00
Sogdiana41%fair 2.42 · @2.25
3.09Expected goals
1.48Surkhon xG
1.61Sogdiana xG
63%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Surkhon 1.5 – 1.6 Sogdiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSogdiana to win ✓41%2.422.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.60
Draw no betSogdiana (draw no bet) ✓54%1.86–
Asian handicapSurkhon +1 (Asian handicap) ✗74%1.35–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓60%1.68–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.59–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreSogdiana to score first ✗50%2.01–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.57–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sogdiana / FT Sogdiana ✗24%4.10–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.46–

Recent results

Surkhon – last 6

LWLLWL
7 Augvs Navbahor0–1L
3 Aug@ Kokand-19121–0W
28 Jul@ Xorazm0–1L
23 Julvs Dinamo Samarqand1–2L
18 Jul@ Andijan2–1W
28 Apr@ Sogdiana2–5L
1.0Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Sogdiana – last 6

WWLLWW
6 Augvs Andijan1–0W
2 Aug@ Mash'al3–1W
27 Jul@ Lokomotiv1–3L
21 Julvs Neftchi1–5L
16 Julvs Xorazm2–0W
28 Aprvs Surkhon5–2W
2.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Apr 2026Sogdiana v Surkhon5–2
Surkhon vs Sogdiana head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi261943+3861
2Pakhtakor271782+2259
3Navbahor271674+2155
4Nasaf271296+1545
5Olmaliq271368+445
6Lokomotiv271278+1043
7Buxoro271269+442
8Dinamo Samarqand2710710+237
9Qizilqum2710512-735
10Surkhon2771010-931
11Andijan279414-631
12Sogdiana278613-930
13Xorazm276813-1526
14Bunyodkor268216-1626
15Kokand-1912275913-1324
16Mash'al271224-415

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Surkhon vs Sogdiana?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.

Who will win Surkhon vs Sogdiana?

On our numbers Surkhon have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sogdiana 41%.

How many goals will there be in Surkhon vs Sogdiana?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Surkhon vs Sogdiana?

Our predicted score is Surkhon 1–1 Sogdiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Surkhon vs Sogdiana?

Surkhon vs Sogdiana (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 13 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Surkhon.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.