Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.22 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Nasaf to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNasaf to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceNasaf or draw ✗85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.72
Qizilqum vs Nasaf: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nasaf travel to face Qizilqum on Wednesday 26 August in the Super League, with Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Qizilqum are 9th, lower half, on 35 points after 27 matches; Nasaf are 4th (among the top four) with 45.
Current form
Qizilqum, last 5: LWLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sogdiana, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Nasaf, last 5: LLDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Navbahor, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Nasaf, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for Qizilqum.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Jul 2026) it ended Nasaf 1–0 Qizilqum.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qizilqum 0.6 xG, Nasaf 1.5 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qizilqum 15%, draw 26%, Nasaf 59%.
Lower-risk option: Nasaf or draw (85%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
Price worth noting: Nasaf to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nasaf or draw (85%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qizilqum 0–1 Nasaf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qizilqum15%fair 6.83 · @3.70
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @2.90
Nasaf59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
2.17Expected goals
0.63Qizilqum xG
1.54Nasaf xG
51%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–118%
0–214%
0–011%
1–111%
1–29%
1–07%
From our goals model: Qizilqum 0.6 – 1.5 Nasaf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Nasaf or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Qizilqum vs Nasaf?
On our numbers Qizilqum have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nasaf 59%.
How many goals will there be in Qizilqum vs Nasaf?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qizilqum vs Nasaf?
Our predicted score is Qizilqum 0–1 Nasaf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Qizilqum vs Nasaf?
Qizilqum vs Nasaf (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 26 August 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
