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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Surkhon v Olmaliq: numbers & prediction

Super League · Uzbekistan · Stadion Surkhon

Surkhon

DLLWL
0–0
FT

Olmaliq

LLWLW
Surkhon 34%Draw 22%Olmaliq 44% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.41
60%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.66 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultOlmaliq to win ✗44% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.37

Surkhon vs Olmaliq: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

15:00 WAT, Tuesday 25 August: Surkhon v Olmaliq in the Super League, played at Stadion Surkhon. In the table, Surkhon are 10th, lower half, on 31 points after 27 matches; Olmaliq are 5th (upper half) with 45. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Surkhon, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Pakhtakor, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Olmaliq, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dinamo Samarqand, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Olmaliq, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Surkhon.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Apr 2026) it ended Olmaliq 1–1 Surkhon.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Surkhon 1.2 xG, Olmaliq 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 60%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Surkhon 34%, draw 22%, Olmaliq 44%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Surkhon 1–1 Olmaliq. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Surkhon34%fair 2.94 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.60 · @3.20
Olmaliq44%fair 2.26 · @2.10
2.61Expected goals
1.20Surkhon xG
1.41Olmaliq xG
60%Both score
48%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–17%
0–07%

From our goals model: Surkhon 1.2 – 1.4 Olmaliq expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultOlmaliq to win ✗44%2.262.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.661.65
Draw no betOlmaliq (draw no bet)56%1.77–
Asian handicapSurkhon +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗73%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓52%1.94–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓88%1.14–
First team to scoreOlmaliq to score first ✗50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.33–
Half-time / full-timeHT Olmaliq / FT Olmaliq ✗25%4.06–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.37–

Recent results

Surkhon – last 6

DLLWLL
21 Aug@ Pakhtakor0–0D
13 Augvs Sogdiana1–3L
7 Augvs Navbahor0–1L
3 Aug@ Kokand-19121–0W
28 Jul@ Xorazm0–1L
23 Julvs Dinamo Samarqand1–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Olmaliq – last 6

LLWLWW
19 Augvs Dinamo Samarqand0–1L
13 Aug@ Buxoro0–2L
8 Aug@ Bunyodkor3–2W
3 Augvs Nasaf1–2L
27 Julvs Mash'al2–1W
22 Jul@ Kokand-19124–1W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Apr 2026Olmaliq v Surkhon1–1
Surkhon vs Olmaliq head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi261943+3861
2Pakhtakor271782+2259
3Navbahor271674+2155
4Nasaf271296+1545
5Olmaliq271368+445
6Lokomotiv271278+1043
7Buxoro271269+442
8Dinamo Samarqand2710710+237
9Qizilqum2710512-735
10Surkhon2771010-931
11Andijan279414-631
12Sogdiana278613-930
13Xorazm276813-1526
14Bunyodkor268216-1626
15Kokand-1912275913-1324
16Mash'al271224-415

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Surkhon vs Olmaliq?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Surkhon vs Olmaliq?

On our numbers Surkhon have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Olmaliq 44%.

How many goals will there be in Surkhon vs Olmaliq?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Surkhon vs Olmaliq?

Our predicted score is Surkhon 1–1 Olmaliq, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Surkhon vs Olmaliq?

Surkhon vs Olmaliq (Super League) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Surkhon.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.