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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Navbahor v Lokomotiv: numbers & prediction

Super League · Uzbekistan · Markaziy Stadium
1–1
FT
Navbahor 58%Draw 24%Lokomotiv 18% Expected goals 1.85 – 0.94
58%
Betarazi pick

Navbahor to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.70 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.70Odds

Picks by market

ResultNavbahor to win ✗58% · @1.70
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.12

Navbahor vs Lokomotiv: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Navbahor welcome Lokomotiv to Markaziy Stadium for a Super League fixture on Friday 4 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Navbahor are 3rd, among the top four, on 55 points after 27 matches; Lokomotiv are 6th (upper half) with 43. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Navbahor, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nasaf, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Lokomotiv, last 5: WWLWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Bunyodkor, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Navbahor, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Lokomotiv.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Lokomotiv 0–2 Navbahor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Navbahor 1.8 xG, Lokomotiv 0.9 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Navbahor 58%, draw 24%, Lokomotiv 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Navbahor or draw (82%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.80.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Navbahor to win (58%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Navbahor 1–0 Lokomotiv. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Navbahor58%fair 1.72 · @1.70
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.20
Lokomotiv18%fair 5.48 · @4.50
2.79Expected goals
1.85Navbahor xG
0.94Lokomotiv xG
55%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–011%
1–111%
2–011%
2–110%
3–06%
0–06%

From our goals model: Navbahor 1.8 – 0.9 Lokomotiv expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNavbahor to win ✗58%1.721.70
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓82%1.221.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓55%1.831.80
Draw no betNavbahor (draw no bet)76%1.31–
Asian handicapLokomotiv +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗53%1.89–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreNavbahor to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultNavbahor ahead at half-time ✓42%2.35–
Half-time / full-timeHT Navbahor / FT Navbahor ✗37%2.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.12–

Recent results

Navbahor – last 6

WWWWWW
30 Augvs Nasaf1–0W
26 Aug@ Mash'al2–0W
21 Augvs Nasaf1–0W
14 Augvs Bunyodkor4–3W
7 Aug@ Surkhon1–0W
2 Augvs Xorazm5–1W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Lokomotiv – last 6

WWLWLW
26 Augvs Bunyodkor4–1W
20 Aug@ Xorazm3–1W
15 Aug@ Kokand-19121–2L
7 Augvs Dinamo Samarqand2–1W
1 Aug@ Buxoro1–2L
27 Julvs Sogdiana3–1W
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026Lokomotiv v Navbahor0–2
Navbahor vs Lokomotiv head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi261943+3861
2Pakhtakor271782+2259
3Navbahor271674+2155
4Nasaf271296+1545
5Olmaliq271368+445
6Lokomotiv271278+1043
7Buxoro271269+442
8Dinamo Samarqand2710710+237
9Qizilqum2710512-735
10Surkhon2771010-931
11Andijan279414-631
12Sogdiana278613-930
13Xorazm276813-1526
14Bunyodkor268216-1626
15Kokand-1912275913-1324
16Mash'al271224-415

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Navbahor vs Lokomotiv?

Our pick is Navbahor to win with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.

Who will win Navbahor vs Lokomotiv?

On our numbers Navbahor have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Lokomotiv 18%.

How many goals will there be in Navbahor vs Lokomotiv?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Navbahor vs Lokomotiv?

Our predicted score is Navbahor 1–0 Lokomotiv, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Navbahor vs Lokomotiv?

Navbahor vs Lokomotiv (Super League) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.