Buxoro 19%Draw 21%Navbahor 60%Expected goals 0.83 – 1.75
81%
Betarazi pick
Navbahor or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Navbahor to win @ 1.83 – our chance 60% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultNavbahor to win ✓60% · @1.83
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.38
Buxoro vs Navbahor: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Buxoro welcome Navbahor to Buxoro FA Stadioni for a Super League fixture on Friday 11 September (15:00 WAT). In the table, Buxoro are 7th, upper half, on 42 points after 27 matches; Navbahor are 3rd (among the top four) with 55. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Buxoro, last 5: LDWWD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Qizilqum, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Navbahor, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Lokomotiv, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Navbahor, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.8 for Buxoro.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Mar 2026) it ended Navbahor 0–1 Buxoro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Buxoro 0.8 xG, Navbahor 1.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Buxoro 19%, draw 21%, Navbahor 60%.
Lower-risk option: Navbahor or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Navbahor to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Navbahor or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Buxoro 0–1 Navbahor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Buxoro19%fair 5.34 · @3.80
Draw21%fair 4.75 · @3.10
Navbahor60%fair 1.66 · @1.83
2.58Expected goals
0.83Buxoro xG
1.75Navbahor xG
53%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–111%
1–210%
0–08%
0–37%
From our goals model: Buxoro 0.8 – 1.7 Navbahor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Navbahor or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Buxoro vs Navbahor?
On our numbers Buxoro have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Navbahor 60%.
How many goals will there be in Buxoro vs Navbahor?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Buxoro vs Navbahor?
Our predicted score is Buxoro 0–1 Navbahor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Buxoro vs Navbahor?
Buxoro vs Navbahor (Super League) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Buxoro FA Stadioni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
