Navbahor 62%Draw 23%Dinamo Samarqand 15%Expected goals 1.94 – 0.85
62%
Betarazi pick
Navbahor to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultNavbahor to win ✓62% · @1.40
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓85% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Navbahor vs Dinamo Samarqand: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Thursday 17 September: Navbahor v Dinamo Samarqand in the Super League, played at Markaziy Stadium. In the table, Navbahor are 3rd, among the top four, on 55 points after 27 matches; Dinamo Samarqand are 8th (upper half) with 37. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Navbahor, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Buxoro, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Dinamo Samarqand, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Qizilqum, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Navbahor, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.5 for Dinamo Samarqand.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Navbahor 1.9 xG, Dinamo Samarqand 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Navbahor 62%, draw 23%, Dinamo Samarqand 15%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Navbahor to win (62%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Navbahor 1–0 Dinamo Samarqand. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Navbahor62%fair 1.60 · @1.40
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.90
Dinamo Samarqand15%fair 6.74 · @6.00
2.79Expected goals
1.94Navbahor xG
0.85Dinamo Samarqand xG
57%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Navbahor 1.9 – 0.8 Dinamo Samarqand expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Navbahor to win✓
62%
1.60
1.40
Double chance
Navbahor or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.75
Draw no bet
Navbahor (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Navbahor -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.18
–
First team to score
Navbahor to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Navbahor ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Navbahor / FT Navbahor✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Navbahor – last 6
WDWWWW
11 Sep
@ Buxoro
4–1
W
4 Sep
vs Lokomotiv
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Nasaf
1–0
W
26 Aug
@ Mash'al
2–0
W
21 Aug
vs Nasaf
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Bunyodkor
4–3
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Dinamo Samarqand – last 6
WDDWDL
10 Sep
vs Qizilqum
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Kokand-1912
1–1
D
25 Aug
vs Pakhtakor
1–1
D
19 Aug
@ Olmaliq
1–0
W
14 Aug
vs Xorazm
2–2
D
7 Aug
@ Lokomotiv
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Navbahor and Dinamo Samarqand.
What is the prediction for Navbahor vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Our pick is Navbahor to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Navbahor vs Dinamo Samarqand?
On our numbers Navbahor have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dinamo Samarqand 15%.
How many goals will there be in Navbahor vs Dinamo Samarqand?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Navbahor vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Our predicted score is Navbahor 1–0 Dinamo Samarqand, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Navbahor vs Dinamo Samarqand?
Navbahor vs Dinamo Samarqand (Super League) kicks off on Thursday 17 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
