Value bet: Qizilqum to win @ 3.50 – our chance 35% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultXorazm to win ✗40% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.79
Xorazm vs Qizilqum: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Qizilqum travel to face Xorazm on Monday 21 September in the Super League, with Xorazm Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:15 WAT. In the table, Xorazm are 13th, lower half, on 26 points after 27 matches; Qizilqum are 9th (lower half) with 35.
Current form
Xorazm, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Olmaliq, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Qizilqum, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Dinamo Samarqand, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Qizilqum, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Xorazm.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Qizilqum 0–0 Xorazm.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Xorazm 1.2 xG, Qizilqum 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Xorazm 40%, draw 24%, Qizilqum 35%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Qizilqum to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.80, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xorazm 1–1 Qizilqum. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Xorazm40%fair 2.47 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.88
Qizilqum35%fair 2.85 · @3.50
2.24Expected goals
1.17Xorazm xG
1.07Qizilqum xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Xorazm 1.2 – 1.1 Qizilqum expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Xorazm vs Qizilqum?
On our numbers Xorazm have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Qizilqum 35%.
How many goals will there be in Xorazm vs Qizilqum?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Xorazm vs Qizilqum?
Our predicted score is Xorazm 1–1 Qizilqum, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Xorazm vs Qizilqum?
Xorazm vs Qizilqum (Super League) kicks off on Monday 21 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Xorazm Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
