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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Pakhtakor v Bunyodkor: numbers & prediction

Super League · Uzbekistan · Pakhtakor Central Stadium
3–1
FT
Pakhtakor 75%Draw 15%Bunyodkor 10% Expected goals 2.10 – 0.55
53%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.89 · bookmaker 1.95 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultPakhtakor to win ✓75% · @1.17
Double chancePakhtakor or draw ✓90% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.70

Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Pakhtakor welcome Bunyodkor to Pakhtakor Central Stadium for a Super League fixture on Friday 9 October (15:00 WAT). In the table, Pakhtakor are 2nd, among the top four, on 59 points after 27 matches; Bunyodkor are 14th (in the drop zone) with 26. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Pakhtakor, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Mash'al, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Bunyodkor, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Buxoro, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Pakhtakor, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.5 for Bunyodkor.

Head to head

When they last met (26 Jul 2026) it ended Bunyodkor 0–1 Pakhtakor.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Pakhtakor 2.1 xG, Bunyodkor 0.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Pakhtakor 75%, draw 15%, Bunyodkor 10%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (53%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.89, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pakhtakor 2–1 Bunyodkor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Pakhtakor75%fair 1.33 · @1.17
Draw15%fair 6.63 · @6.00
Bunyodkor10%fair 10.25 · @13.00
2.65Expected goals
2.10Pakhtakor xG
0.55Bunyodkor xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–016%
1–015%
3–011%
2–19%
1–18%
0–07%

From our goals model: Pakhtakor 2.1 – 0.5 Bunyodkor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultPakhtakor to win ✓75%1.331.17
Double chancePakhtakor or draw ✓90%1.111.03
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.891.95
Draw no betPakhtakor (draw no bet) ✓89%1.13–
Asian handicapPakhtakor -1 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.35–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.98–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scorePakhtakor to score first ✓74%1.36–
Half-time resultPakhtakor ahead at half-time ✓52%1.92–
Half-time / full-timeHT Pakhtakor / FT Pakhtakor ✓49%2.05–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.70–

Recent results

Pakhtakor – last 6

WDWWLD
19 Sep@ Mash'al2–1W
14 Sep@ Al-Ahli Jeddah1–1D
9 Sep@ Olmaliq3–1W
4 Sepvs Andijan3–0W
29 Aug@ Neftchi0–1L
25 Aug@ Dinamo Samarqand1–1D
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Bunyodkor – last 6

WLLLLL
19 Sepvs Buxoro2–1W
15 Sepvs Lokomotiv0–1L
9 Sep@ Nasaf0–3L
4 Sepvs Surkhon0–1L
26 Aug@ Lokomotiv1–4L
20 Augvs Kokand-19120–1L
0.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

26 Jul 2026Bunyodkor v Pakhtakor0–1
Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi261943+3861
2Pakhtakor271782+2259
3Navbahor271674+2155
4Nasaf271296+1545
5Olmaliq271368+445
6Lokomotiv271278+1043
7Buxoro271269+442
8Dinamo Samarqand2710710+237
9Qizilqum2710512-735
10Surkhon2771010-931
11Andijan279414-631
12Sogdiana278613-930
13Xorazm276813-1526
14Bunyodkor268216-1626
15Kokand-1912275913-1324
16Mash'al271224-415

More Super League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor?

On our numbers Pakhtakor have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Bunyodkor 10%.

How many goals will there be in Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor?

Our predicted score is Pakhtakor 2–1 Bunyodkor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor?

Pakhtakor vs Bunyodkor (Super League) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Pakhtakor Central Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.