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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Neftchi v Xorazm: numbers & prediction

Super League · Uzbekistan · Istiqlol Stadium

Neftchi

WWWLW
2–2
FT

Xorazm

LLDLL
Neftchi 72%Draw 16%Xorazm 12% Expected goals 2.03 – 0.63
50%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.99 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultNeftchi to win ✗72% · @1.18
Double chanceNeftchi or draw ✓88% · @1.04
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 6.97

Neftchi vs Xorazm: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Wednesday 7 October the Super League brings Neftchi against Xorazm at Istiqlol Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Neftchi are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 26 matches; Xorazm are 13th (lower half) with 26. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Neftchi, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lokomotiv, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Xorazm, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Qizilqum, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Neftchi, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.2 for Xorazm.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Xorazm 0–2 Neftchi.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Neftchi 2.0 xG, Xorazm 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Neftchi 72%, draw 16%, Xorazm 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.75.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neftchi 2–0 Xorazm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Neftchi72%fair 1.39 · @1.18
Draw16%fair 6.43 · @5.50
Xorazm12%fair 8.03 · @11.00
2.66Expected goals
2.03Neftchi xG
0.63Xorazm xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Neftchi 2.0 – 0.6 Xorazm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNeftchi to win ✗72%1.391.18
Double chanceNeftchi or draw ✓88%1.141.04
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.75
Draw no betNeftchi (draw no bet)85%1.17–
Asian handicapNeftchi -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.43–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%1.99–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.38–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreNeftchi to score first71%1.41–
Half-time resultNeftchi ahead at half-time ✗50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Neftchi / FT Neftchi ✗46%2.19–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14%6.97–

Recent results

Neftchi – last 6

WWWLWW
20 Sep@ Lokomotiv1–0W
14 Sepvs Al Quwa Al Jawiya1–0W
9 Sepvs Surkhon2–1W
4 Sep@ Nasaf2–6L
29 Augvs Pakhtakor1–0W
23 Augvs Sogdiana3–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Xorazm – last 6

LLDLLL
21 Sepvs Qizilqum1–3L
16 Sep@ Olmaliq1–2L
10 Sepvs Sogdiana0–0D
3 Sep@ Olmaliq0–1L
25 Aug@ Andijan0–1L
20 Augvs Lokomotiv1–3L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Apr 2026Xorazm v Neftchi0–2
Neftchi vs Xorazm head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi261943+3861
2Pakhtakor271782+2259
3Navbahor271674+2155
4Nasaf271296+1545
5Olmaliq271368+445
6Lokomotiv271278+1043
7Buxoro271269+442
8Dinamo Samarqand2710710+237
9Qizilqum2710512-735
10Surkhon2771010-931
11Andijan279414-631
12Sogdiana278613-930
13Xorazm276813-1526
14Bunyodkor268216-1626
15Kokand-1912275913-1324
16Mash'al271224-415

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Neftchi vs Xorazm?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Neftchi vs Xorazm?

On our numbers Neftchi have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Xorazm 12%.

How many goals will there be in Neftchi vs Xorazm?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Neftchi vs Xorazm?

Our predicted score is Neftchi 2–0 Xorazm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Neftchi vs Xorazm?

Neftchi vs Xorazm (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Istiqlol Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.