Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗14% · fair 6.97
Neftchi vs Xorazm: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Wednesday 7 October the Super League brings Neftchi against Xorazm at Istiqlol Stadium. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Neftchi are 1st, leading the league, on 61 points after 26 matches; Xorazm are 13th (lower half) with 26. There are 35 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Neftchi, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lokomotiv, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Xorazm, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Qizilqum, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Neftchi, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.2 for Xorazm.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Xorazm 0–2 Neftchi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Neftchi 2.0 xG, Xorazm 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Neftchi 72%, draw 16%, Xorazm 12%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Neftchi 2–0 Xorazm. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Neftchi72%fair 1.39 · @1.18
Draw16%fair 6.43 · @5.50
Xorazm12%fair 8.03 · @11.00
2.66Expected goals
2.03Neftchi xG
0.63Xorazm xG
50%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–014%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Neftchi 2.0 – 0.6 Xorazm expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Neftchi vs Xorazm?
On our numbers Neftchi have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Xorazm 12%.
How many goals will there be in Neftchi vs Xorazm?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Neftchi vs Xorazm?
Our predicted score is Neftchi 2–0 Xorazm, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Neftchi vs Xorazm?
Neftchi vs Xorazm (Super League) kicks off on Wednesday 7 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Istiqlol Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.