Qizilqum vs Surkhon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Qizilqum welcome Surkhon to Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi for a Super League fixture on Saturday 10 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Qizilqum are 9th, lower half, on 35 points after 27 matches; Surkhon are 10th (lower half) with 31.
Current form
Qizilqum, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Xorazm, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Surkhon, last 5: WLWLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kokand-1912, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Qizilqum, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Surkhon.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Surkhon 0–1 Qizilqum.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qizilqum 1.2 xG, Surkhon 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qizilqum 43%, draw 24%, Surkhon 33%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (54%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.84, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qizilqum 1–1 Surkhon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qizilqum43%fair 2.34 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.80
Surkhon33%fair 3.05 · @2.90
2.26Expected goals
1.23Qizilqum xG
1.03Surkhon xG
54%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Qizilqum 1.2 – 1.0 Surkhon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Qizilqum vs Surkhon?
On our numbers Qizilqum have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Surkhon 33%.
How many goals will there be in Qizilqum vs Surkhon?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qizilqum vs Surkhon?
Our predicted score is Qizilqum 1–1 Surkhon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Qizilqum vs Surkhon?
Qizilqum vs Surkhon (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Yoshlar Sport Majmuasi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
