Nasaf 68%Draw 21%Sogdiana 11%Expected goals 2.20 – 0.82
68%
Betarazi pick
Nasaf to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
7/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultNasaf to win ✓68% · @1.44
Double chanceNasaf or draw ✓89% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.34
Nasaf vs Sogdiana: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nasaf welcome Sogdiana to Markaziy Stadium for a Super League fixture on Saturday 24 October (14:00 WAT). In the table, Nasaf are 4th, among the top four, on 45 points after 27 matches; Sogdiana are 12th (lower half) with 30. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Nasaf, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Lokomotiv, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sogdiana, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Andijan, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nasaf, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Sogdiana.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Mar 2026) it ended Sogdiana 0–2 Nasaf.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nasaf 2.2 xG, Sogdiana 0.8 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nasaf 68%, draw 21%, Sogdiana 11%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nasaf to win (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nasaf 2–0 Sogdiana. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nasaf68%fair 1.48 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.67 · @3.80
Sogdiana11%fair 9.07 · @5.50
3.02Expected goals
2.20Nasaf xG
0.82Sogdiana xG
55%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Nasaf 2.2 – 0.8 Sogdiana expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Nasaf to win with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Nasaf vs Sogdiana?
On our numbers Nasaf have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sogdiana 11%.
How many goals will there be in Nasaf vs Sogdiana?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nasaf vs Sogdiana?
Our predicted score is Nasaf 2–0 Sogdiana, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Nasaf vs Sogdiana?
Nasaf vs Sogdiana (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Markaziy Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
