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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Xorazm v Navbahor: numbers & prediction

Super League · Uzbekistan · Xorazm Stadium

Xorazm

DDLLD
1–2
FT
Xorazm 12%Draw 25%Navbahor 63% Expected goals 0.69 – 1.81
63%
Betarazi pick

Navbahor to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.53Odds

Picks by market

ResultNavbahor to win ✓63% · @1.53
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓88% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9% · fair 10.78

Xorazm vs Navbahor: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Monday 26 October the Super League brings Xorazm against Navbahor at Xorazm Stadium. Kick-off: 14:30 WAT. In the table, Xorazm are 13th, lower half, on 26 points after 27 matches; Navbahor are 3rd (among the top four) with 55. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Xorazm, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Surkhon, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Navbahor, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Gazalkent, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Momentum favours Navbahor, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Xorazm.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Navbahor 5–1 Xorazm.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Xorazm 0.7 xG, Navbahor 1.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Xorazm 12%, draw 25%, Navbahor 63%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Navbahor to win (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Xorazm 0–1 Navbahor. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Xorazm12%fair 8.20 · @5.50
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @3.40
Navbahor63%fair 1.59 · @1.53
2.50Expected goals
0.69Xorazm xG
1.81Navbahor xG
51%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–115%
0–213%
1–110%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%

From our goals model: Xorazm 0.7 – 1.8 Navbahor expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNavbahor to win ✓63%1.591.53
Double chanceNavbahor or draw ✓88%1.141.11
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓51%1.961.95
Draw no betNavbahor (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapNavbahor -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreNavbahor to score first ✓67%1.50–
Half-time resultNavbahor ahead at half-time ✓45%2.22–
Half-time / full-timeHT Navbahor / FT Navbahor ✓41%2.47–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓9%10.78–

Recent results

Xorazm – last 6

DDLLDL
16 Oct@ Surkhon0–0D
7 Oct@ Neftchi2–2D
21 Sepvs Qizilqum1–3L
16 Sep@ Olmaliq1–2L
10 Sepvs Sogdiana0–0D
3 Sep@ Olmaliq0–1L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Navbahor – last 6

WDDWWD
21 Octvs Gazalkent3–1W
17 Octvs Pakhtakor1–1D
11 Oct@ Olmaliq2–2D
17 Sepvs Dinamo Samarqand3–2W
11 Sep@ Buxoro4–1W
4 Sepvs Lokomotiv1–1D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026Navbahor v Xorazm5–1
Xorazm vs Navbahor head-to-head page →

Super League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi261943+3861
2Pakhtakor271782+2259
3Navbahor271674+2155
4Nasaf271296+1545
5Olmaliq271368+445
6Lokomotiv271278+1043
7Buxoro271269+442
8Dinamo Samarqand2710710+237
9Qizilqum2710512-735
10Surkhon2771010-931
11Andijan279414-631
12Sogdiana278613-930
13Xorazm276813-1526
14Bunyodkor268216-1626
15Kokand-1912275913-1324
16Mash'al271224-415

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Xorazm vs Navbahor?

Our pick is Navbahor to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.

Who will win Xorazm vs Navbahor?

On our numbers Xorazm have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Navbahor 63%.

How many goals will there be in Xorazm vs Navbahor?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Xorazm vs Navbahor?

Our predicted score is Xorazm 0–1 Navbahor, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is Xorazm vs Navbahor?

Xorazm vs Navbahor (Super League) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time) at Xorazm Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.