Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultNasaf to win ✗55% · @1.83
Double chanceNasaf or draw ✓82% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.71
Surkhon vs Nasaf: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 31 October the Super League brings Surkhon against Nasaf at Stadion Surkhon. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Surkhon are 10th, lower half, on 31 points after 27 matches; Nasaf are 4th (among the top four) with 45. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Surkhon, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Buxoro, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Nasaf, last 5: LWDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al Kuwait, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Nasaf 0–1 Surkhon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Surkhon 0.7 xG, Nasaf 1.4 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Surkhon 18%, draw 26%, Nasaf 55%.
Lower-risk option: Nasaf or draw (82%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nasaf or draw (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Surkhon 0–1 Nasaf. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Surkhon18%fair 5.43 · @3.90
Draw26%fair 3.79 · @3.00
Nasaf55%fair 1.81 · @1.83
2.14Expected goals
0.70Surkhon xG
1.44Nasaf xG
54%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–212%
1–112%
0–012%
1–29%
1–08%
From our goals model: Surkhon 0.7 – 1.4 Nasaf expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Nasaf or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Surkhon vs Nasaf?
On our numbers Surkhon have a 18% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Nasaf 55%.
How many goals will there be in Surkhon vs Nasaf?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Surkhon vs Nasaf?
Our predicted score is Surkhon 0–1 Nasaf, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Surkhon vs Nasaf?
Surkhon vs Nasaf (Super League) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Surkhon.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
