Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLask Linz to win ✗42% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.33
Ried vs Lask Linz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Lask Linz travel to face Ried on Wednesday 18 March in the Cup, with Innviertel Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT.
Current form
Ried, last 3: LLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Austria Vienna, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Lask Linz, last 4: DWDL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with TSV Hartberg, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lask Linz, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.3 for Ried.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ried 1.6 xG, Lask Linz 1.8 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ried 34%, draw 23%, Lask Linz 42%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (78%, odds 1.33 – longer than our fair 1.28, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ried 1–1 Lask Linz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ried34%fair 2.90 · @2.75
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.25
Lask Linz42%fair 2.38 · @2.50
3.37Expected goals
1.55Ried xG
1.82Lask Linz xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Ried 1.6 – 1.8 Lask Linz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lask Linz to win✗
42%
2.38
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.31
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.73 ▲
Draw no bet
Lask Linz (draw no bet)
55%
1.82
–
Asian handicap
Ried +1 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
2.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.09
First team to score
Lask Linz to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lask Linz / FT Lask Linz✗
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.33
–
Recent results
Ried – last 3
LLD
8 Mar
vs Austria Vienna
0–2
L
1 Mar
@ Grazer AK
1–2
L
22 Feb
@ WSG Wattens
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Lask Linz – last 4
DWDL
13 Mar
vs TSV Hartberg
0–0
D
8 Mar
vs Wolfsberger AC
3–1
W
1 Mar
@ Austria Vienna
2–2
D
22 Feb
vs Red Bull Salzburg
1–5
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ried and Lask Linz.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Ried vs Lask Linz?
On our numbers Ried have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lask Linz 42%.
How many goals will there be in Ried vs Lask Linz?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ried vs Lask Linz?
Our predicted score is Ried 1–1 Lask Linz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Ried vs Lask Linz?
Ried vs Lask Linz (Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Innviertel Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
