Oita Trinita v Kagoshima United Prediction & Expected Goals (8 Mar) – Odds, Stats, Pick

Picks by market

ResultOita Trinita to win ✗37% · @2.60

Double chanceEither team to win ✗72% · @1.30

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.83

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.76

Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Sunday 8 March: Oita Trinita v Kagoshima United in the J2 League, played at Resonac Dome Oita.

Current form

Oita Trinita, last 4: LWWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Roasso Kumamoto, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Kagoshima United, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Sagan Tosu, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 2 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Kagoshima United, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.3 for Oita Trinita.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Oita Trinita 1.2 xG, Kagoshima United 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Oita Trinita 37%, draw 28%, Kagoshima United 34%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Oita Trinita 1–1 Kagoshima United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Oita Trinita37%fair 2.68 · @2.60

Draw28%fair 3.52 · @3.10

Kagoshima United34%fair 2.92 · @2.60

2.32Expected goals

1.19Oita Trinita xG

1.13Kagoshima United xG

57%Both score

42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–012%

0–111%

0–010%

2–18%

1–27%

From our goals model: Oita Trinita 1.2 – 1.1 Kagoshima United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Oita Trinita	Kagoshima United
Attack vs J2 League average	-2%	+5%
Goals conceded vs average	-22%	-25%
Our expected goals here	1.02	0.99

Oita Trinita

Kagoshima United

Attack vs J2 League average

-2%

+5%

Goals conceded vs average

-22%

-25%

Our expected goals here

1.02

0.99

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Oita Trinita to win ✗	37%	2.68	2.60
Double chance	Either team to win ✗	72%	1.40	1.30
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	57%	1.75	1.83
Draw no bet	Oita Trinita (draw no bet)	52%	1.92	–
Asian handicap	Kagoshima United +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.59	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	67%	1.48	1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	58%	1.73	1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	78%	1.28	1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	91%	1.09	–
First team to score	Oita Trinita to score first ✗	46%	2.17	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	46%	2.17	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Oita Trinita / FT Oita Trinita ✗	21%	4.73	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1 ✗	8%	12.76	–

Market

Most likely

Chance

Fair odds

Bookmaker

Match result

Oita Trinita to win ✗

37%

2.68

2.60

Double chance

Either team to win ✗

72%

1.40

1.30

Both teams to score

Both teams to score ✗

57%

1.75

1.83

Draw no bet

Oita Trinita (draw no bet)

52%

1.92

–

Asian handicap

Kagoshima United +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓

63%

1.59

–

Over/under 1.5 goals

Over 1.5 goals ✗

67%

1.48

1.38

Over/under 2.5 goals

Under 2.5 goals ✓

58%

1.73

1.65

Over/under 3.5 goals

Under 3.5 goals ✓

78%

1.28

1.22

Over/under 4.5 goals

Under 4.5 goals ✓

91%

1.09

–

First team to score

Oita Trinita to score first ✗

46%

2.17

–

Half-time result

Level at half-time ✓

46%

2.17

–

Half-time / full-time

HT Oita Trinita / FT Oita Trinita ✗

21%

4.73

–

Correct score

Correct score 2–1 ✗

12.76

–

Recent results

Head to head

J2 League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albirex Niigata	16	10	2	4	-1	32
2	Yokohama FC	16	9	4	3	+15	31
3	Kataller Toyama	16	9	4	3	+14	31
4	Vegalta Sendai	16	9	3	4	+13	30
5	Omiya Ardija	16	8	6	2	+12	30
6	Tegevajaro Miyazaki	16	8	5	3	+9	29
7	Consadole Sapporo	16	8	2	6	+3	26
8	Iwaki	16	7	2	7	+4	23
9	Jubilo Iwata	16	6	5	5	+2	23
10	Shonan Bellmare	16	5	8	3	+1	23
11	Oita Trinita	16	5	7	4	+5	22
12	Blaublitz Akita	16	5	5	6	0	20
13	Sagan Tosu	16	6	2	8	-3	20
14	Montedio Yamagata	16	6	1	9	-2	19
15	Tokushima Vortis	16	5	2	9	-5	17
16	Fujieda MYFC	16	3	7	6	-4	16
17	Vanraure Hachinohe	16	4	2	10	-15	14
18	Tochigi City	16	3	3	10	-10	12
19	Imabari	16	3	3	10	-16	12
20	Ventforet Kofu	16	3	3	10	-22	12

Team

Pts

-1

+15

+14

+13

+12

-3

-2

-5

-4

-15

-10

-16

-22

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United?

On our numbers Oita Trinita have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Kagoshima United 34%.

How many goals will there be in Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United?

Our predicted score is Oita Trinita 1–1 Kagoshima United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United?

Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 8 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Resonac Dome Oita.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

1 Mar	@ Roasso Kumamoto	1–3	L
25 Feb	vs Biwako Shiga	2–0	W
22 Feb	vs Gainare Tottori	2–0	W
15 Feb	vs Kitakyushu	2–0	W

28 Feb	@ Sagan Tosu	1–0	W
22 Feb	vs Renofa Yamaguchi	1–0	W
15 Feb	vs FC Ryukyu	3–1	W

Oita Trinita v Kagoshima United: numbers & prediction

Oita Trinita

Kagoshima United

Under 3.5 goals

Picks by market

Oita Trinita vs Kagoshima United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Current form

Where the goals come from

Markets worth a look

Our call before kick-off

Result chances

Score grid: top six

Team ratings (Betarazi)

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Recent results

Oita Trinita – last 4

Kagoshima United – last 3

Head to head

J2 League table

More J2 League predictions

Frequently asked questions