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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Thespakusatsu Gunma v Tochigi SC: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma

Thespakusatsu Gunma

LLLWL
1–3
FT

Tochigi SC

WLLWL
Thespakusatsu Gunma 40%Draw 25%Tochigi SC 35% Expected goals 1.56 – 1.42
73%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.37 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.42Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultThespakusatsu Gunma to win ✗40% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.90
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.42
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.42

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

06:00 WAT, Saturday 28 March: Thespakusatsu Gunma v Tochigi SC in the J2 League, played at Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma.

Current form

Thespakusatsu Gunma, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Shonan Bellmare, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.6 goals a game.

Tochigi SC, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Tochigi City, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.6 xG, Tochigi SC 1.4 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 49% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Thespakusatsu Gunma 40%, draw 25%, Tochigi SC 35%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.90.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (73%, odds 1.42 – longer than our fair 1.37, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–1 Tochigi SC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Thespakusatsu Gunma40%fair 2.52 · @2.45
Draw25%fair 3.95 · @3.10
Tochigi SC35%fair 2.86 · @2.70
2.98Expected goals
1.56Thespakusatsu Gunma xG
1.42Tochigi SC xG
60%Both score
49%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.6 – 1.4 Tochigi SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Thespakusatsu GunmaTochigi SC
Attack vs J2 League average+17%-8%
Goals conceded vs average+39%+5%
Our expected goals here1.711.52

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultThespakusatsu Gunma to win ✗40%2.522.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.661.90 ▲
Draw no betThespakusatsu Gunma (draw no bet) ✗53%1.88–
Asian handicapTochigi SC +1 (Asian handicap) ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73%1.371.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗51%1.961.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.391.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreThespakusatsu Gunma to score first ✗50%2.02–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.51–
Half-time / full-timeHT Thespakusatsu Gunma / FT Thespakusatsu Gunma ✗24%4.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.42–

Recent results

Thespakusatsu Gunma – last 5

LLLWL
20 Marvs Shonan Bellmare0–2L
15 Mar@ Yokohama FC0–3L
4 Mar@ Sagamihara0–5L
28 Febvs Blaublitz Akita3–2W
14 Febvs Vanraure Hachinohe0–1L
0.6Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
20%Both scored
60%Over 2.5

Tochigi SC – last 6

WLLWLL
22 Marvs Tochigi City3–2W
15 Mar@ Blaublitz Akita0–2L
8 Mar@ Sagamihara0–4L
1 Marvs Yokohama FC4–0W
22 Febvs Vegalta Sendai1–2L
15 Febvs Montedio Yamagata1–2L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Thespakusatsu Gunma and Tochigi SC.

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC head-to-head page →

More J2 League predictions

League hub
FT Yokohama FC1 Shonan Bellmare3 143%2.50X26%3.10230%2.65 1.6–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.38 ✓
FT Ventforet Kofu2 Omiya Ardija1 126%3.35X23%3.40251%2.00 1.1–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓
– Fujieda MYFC1 Consadole Sapporo1 Pens 2–4 135%2.50X25%3.60240%2.35 1.2–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.20 ✓
FT FC Gifu5 Parceiro Nagano1 159%1.48X23%4.10218%5.75 1.8–1.1xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Nara Club5 Kanazawa1 136%3.25X25%3.25240%2.05 1.5–1.4xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.

Who will win Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC?

On our numbers Thespakusatsu Gunma have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tochigi SC 35%.

How many goals will there be in Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC?

Our predicted score is Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–1 Tochigi SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC?

Thespakusatsu Gunma vs Tochigi SC (J2 League) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.