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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Tochigi SC v Thespakusatsu Gunma: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Kanseki Stadium Tochigi

Tochigi SC

LWWLL
5–1
FT

Thespakusatsu Gunma

LLLLW
Tochigi SC 45%Draw 25%Thespakusatsu Gunma 30% Expected goals 1.71 – 1.38
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.33Odds
O2.5

Value bet: Over 2.5 goals @ 2.00 – our chance 53% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultTochigi SC to win ✓45% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.90

Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 12 April the J2 League brings Tochigi SC against Thespakusatsu Gunma at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi. Kick-off: 06:00 WAT.

Current form

Tochigi SC, last 5: LWWLL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Vanraure Hachinohe, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Thespakusatsu Gunma, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Tochigi SC, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Momentum favours Tochigi SC, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.5 for Thespakusatsu Gunma.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Mar 2026) it ended Thespakusatsu Gunma 1–3 Tochigi SC.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Tochigi SC 1.7 xG, Thespakusatsu Gunma 1.4 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Tochigi SC 45%, draw 25%, Thespakusatsu Gunma 30%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Over 2.5 goals @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 53%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tochigi SC 1–1 Thespakusatsu Gunma. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Tochigi SC45%fair 2.22 · @2.10
Draw25%fair 3.97 · @3.10
Thespakusatsu Gunma30%fair 3.36 · @3.25
3.09Expected goals
1.71Tochigi SC xG
1.38Thespakusatsu Gunma xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–08%
1–27%
2–07%
2–26%

From our goals model: Tochigi SC 1.7 – 1.4 Thespakusatsu Gunma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Tochigi SCThespakusatsu Gunma
Attack vs J2 League average-8%+17%
Goals conceded vs average+5%+39%
Our expected goals here1.771.47

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTochigi SC to win ✓45%2.222.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.341.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.681.73
Draw no betTochigi SC (draw no bet) ✓60%1.66–
Asian handicapThespakusatsu Gunma +1 (Asian handicap) ✗70%1.44–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.33
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.882.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.471.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
First team to scoreTochigi SC to score first53%1.89–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗39%2.58–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tochigi SC / FT Tochigi SC ✓27%3.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.90–

Recent results

Tochigi SC – last 6

LWWLLW
8 Aprvs Vanraure Hachinohe0–3L
28 Mar@ Thespakusatsu Gunma3–1W
22 Marvs Tochigi City3–2W
15 Mar@ Blaublitz Akita0–2L
8 Mar@ Sagamihara0–4L
1 Marvs Yokohama FC4–0W
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Thespakusatsu Gunma – last 6

LLLLWL
28 Marvs Tochigi SC1–3L
20 Marvs Shonan Bellmare0–2L
15 Mar@ Yokohama FC0–3L
4 Mar@ Sagamihara0–5L
28 Febvs Blaublitz Akita3–2W
14 Febvs Vanraure Hachinohe0–1L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Mar 2026Thespakusatsu Gunma v Tochigi SC1–3
Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma head-to-head page →

More J2 League predictions

League hub
– Parceiro Nagano1 Jubilo Iwata1 Pens 1–4 121%4.60X26%3.50253%1.68 1.0–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓
FT Montedio Yamagata1 Yokohama FC0 126%3.20X26%3.20248%2.10 1.0–1.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 73%@1.28 ✓
FT Blaublitz Akita0 Shonan Bellmare1 137%2.62X30%3.00233%2.60 1.2–1.0xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Sagamihara0 Vegalta Sendai3 121%3.80X25%3.40253%1.85 1.2–1.8xG X2Vegalta Sendai or draw 79%@1.20 ✓
FT Tochigi City2 Vanraure Hachinohe4 141%2.50X27%3.00232%2.70 1.4–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.20 ✗
FT Matsumoto Yamaga4 Omiya Ardija1 125%3.75X25%3.50250%1.83 1.3–1.8xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✓
FT Fukushima United2 Iwaki3 122%4.60X24%3.85255%1.62 1.3–1.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 80%@1.20 ✓
FT Kochi United2 Albirex Niigata1 136%2.80X27%3.00237%2.40 1.3–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 71%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

On our numbers Tochigi SC have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Thespakusatsu Gunma 30%.

How many goals will there be in Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

Our predicted score is Tochigi SC 1–1 Thespakusatsu Gunma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma?

Tochigi SC vs Thespakusatsu Gunma (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Kanseki Stadium Tochigi.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.