Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.44
Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 19 April the J2 League brings Roasso Kumamoto against Sagan Tosu at Egao Kenko Stadium. Kick-off: 07:00 WAT.
Current form
Roasso Kumamoto, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Tegevajaro Miyazaki, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Sagan Tosu, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Kitakyushu, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sagan Tosu, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Roasso Kumamoto.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Roasso Kumamoto 1.0 xG, Sagan Tosu 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Roasso Kumamoto 30%, draw 29%, Sagan Tosu 41%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (50%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Roasso Kumamoto 0–1 Sagan Tosu. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Roasso Kumamoto30%fair 3.31 · @3.10
Draw29%fair 3.42 · @2.90
Sagan Tosu41%fair 2.47 · @2.20
2.12Expected goals
1.00Roasso Kumamoto xG
1.12Sagan Tosu xG
50%Both score
35%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–27%
0–27%
From our goals model: Roasso Kumamoto 1.0 – 1.1 Sagan Tosu expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Roasso Kumamoto
Sagan Tosu
Attack vs J2 League average
-15%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-6%
-16%
Our expected goals here
1.00
0.98
Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sagan Tosu to win✓
41%
2.47
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
71%
1.41
1.40
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
2.00
1.73
Draw no bet
Sagan Tosu (draw no bet)✓
57%
1.75
–
Asian handicap
Roasso Kumamoto +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
94%
1.07
–
First team to score
Sagan Tosu to score first✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sagan Tosu / FT Sagan Tosu✓
21%
4.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.44
–
Recent results
Roasso Kumamoto – last 6
LWLLLL
12 Apr
vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0–5
L
4 Apr
@ FC Ryukyu
1–0
W
29 Mar
vs Kagoshima United
0–1
L
21 Mar
@ Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Gainare Tottori
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Biwako Shiga
0–1
L
0.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sagan Tosu – last 6
WLWWWL
12 Apr
@ Kitakyushu
1–0
W
5 Apr
vs Oita Trinita
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Gainare Tottori
2–0
W
22 Mar
@ Biwako Shiga
2–0
W
14 Mar
vs Kitakyushu
1–0
W
7 Mar
@ Renofa Yamaguchi
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Roasso Kumamoto and Sagan Tosu.
What is the prediction for Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu?
Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu?
On our numbers Roasso Kumamoto have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Sagan Tosu 41%.
How many goals will there be in Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu?
Our predicted score is Roasso Kumamoto 0–1 Sagan Tosu, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu?
Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 19 April 2026 at 07:00 (West Africa Time) at Egao Kenko Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Tochigi SC0
Sagamihara2
Parceiro Nagano0
Fukushima United1
FC Gifu2
Kochi United0
Biwako Shiga0
Gainare Tottori0