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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Matsumoto Yamaga v Parceiro Nagano: numbers & prediction

J2 League · Japan · Sunpro Alwin

Matsumoto Yamaga

LWWWW
0–1
FT

Parceiro Nagano

LWLLL
Matsumoto Yamaga 63%Draw 23%Parceiro Nagano 14% Expected goals 2.02 – 0.95
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗63% · @1.44
Double chanceMatsumoto Yamaga or draw ✗86% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Parceiro Nagano travel to face Matsumoto Yamaga on Sunday 26 April in the J2 League, with Sunpro Alwin the venue – the ball rolls at 06:00 WAT.

Current form

Matsumoto Yamaga, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Consadole Sapporo, away. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.

Parceiro Nagano, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Iwaki, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Matsumoto Yamaga, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Parceiro Nagano.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Mar 2026) it ended Parceiro Nagano 0–5 Matsumoto Yamaga.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Matsumoto Yamaga 2.0 xG, Parceiro Nagano 0.9 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 54% for three or more goals, 55% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Matsumoto Yamaga 63%, draw 23%, Parceiro Nagano 14%.
  • GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Matsumoto Yamaga 2–0 Parceiro Nagano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Matsumoto Yamaga63%fair 1.59 · @1.44
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.95
Parceiro Nagano14%fair 7.04 · @6.50
2.96Expected goals
2.02Matsumoto Yamaga xG
0.95Parceiro Nagano xG
55%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–110%
3–07%
3–17%

From our goals model: Matsumoto Yamaga 2.0 – 0.9 Parceiro Nagano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

Matsumoto YamagaParceiro Nagano
Attack vs J2 League average+5%-11%
Goals conceded vs average-11%+25%
Our expected goals here1.830.95

Our own ratings from every J2 League result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMatsumoto Yamaga to win ✗63%1.591.44
Double chanceMatsumoto Yamaga or draw ✗86%1.171.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗55%1.811.85
Draw no betMatsumoto Yamaga (draw no bet) ✗82%1.23–
Asian handicapMatsumoto Yamaga -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77%1.301.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗54%1.841.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.491.36
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.22–
First team to scoreMatsumoto Yamaga to score first ✗65%1.55–
Half-time resultMatsumoto Yamaga ahead at half-time ✗45%2.21–
Half-time / full-timeHT Matsumoto Yamaga / FT Matsumoto Yamaga ✗40%2.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.06–

Recent results

Matsumoto Yamaga – last 6

LWWWWL
18 Apr@ Consadole Sapporo1–2L
12 Aprvs Omiya Ardija4–1W
29 Mar@ Fukushima United3–1W
14 Mar@ Parceiro Nagano5–0W
7 Marvs Consadole Sapporo3–0W
28 Feb@ Ventforet Kofu0–1L
2.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Parceiro Nagano – last 6

LWLLLL
19 Apr@ Iwaki0–1L
4 Apr@ Fujieda MYFC2–0W
28 Mar@ FC Gifu1–5L
21 Marvs Iwaki1–3L
14 Marvs Matsumoto Yamaga0–5L
8 Mar@ Fukushima United2–4L
1.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Mar 2026Parceiro Nagano v Matsumoto Yamaga0–5
Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano head-to-head page →

More J2 League predictions

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FT Kochi United2 Tokushima Vortis1 128%3.85X28%3.10244%1.91 1.2–1.3xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.22 ✓
FT Ehime FC3 Kamatamare Sanuki0 156%1.85X26%3.30218%3.85 1.6–0.8xG 1XEhime FC or draw 82%@1.20 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano?

On our numbers Matsumoto Yamaga have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Parceiro Nagano 14%.

How many goals will there be in Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano?

Our predicted score is Matsumoto Yamaga 2–0 Parceiro Nagano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano?

Matsumoto Yamaga vs Parceiro Nagano (J2 League) kicks off on Sunday 26 April 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Sunpro Alwin.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.