SalPa welcome KPV-j to Salon urheilupuisto for a Ykkönen fixture on Saturday 9 May (14:00 WAT). In the table, SalPa are 3rd, among the top four, on 48 points after 27 matches; KPV-j are 11th (in the drop zone) with 19. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
SalPa, last 4: LLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to PKKU, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
KPV-j, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over RoPo, away. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SalPa 2.7 xG, KPV-j 1.0 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SalPa 72%, draw 17%, KPV-j 10%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was SalPa to win (72%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: SalPa 2–1 KPV-j. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SalPa72%fair 1.38 · @1.25
Draw17%fair 5.73 · @5.00
KPV-j10%fair 9.76 · @8.50
3.72Expected goals
2.70SalPa xG
1.02KPV-j xG
62%Both score
72%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–09%
3–18%
3–08%
1–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: SalPa 2.7 – 1.0 KPV-j expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SalPa to win
72%
1.38
1.25
Double chance
SalPa or draw
90%
1.11
1.06
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
62%
1.62
1.62
Draw no bet
SalPa (draw no bet)
88%
1.14
–
Asian handicap
SalPa -1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals
51%
1.96
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
68%
1.46
–
First team to score
SalPa to score first
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
SalPa ahead at half-time
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SalPa / FT SalPa
50%
2.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
11.10
–
Recent results
SalPa – last 4
LLWD
2 May
@ PKKU
0–2
L
24 Apr
vs Inter Turku II
2–3
L
14 Apr
@ Fish United
4–0
W
4 Apr
vs Rops
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
KPV-j – last 3
WLD
29 Apr
@ RoPo
4–0
W
20 Apr
vs FC jazz
0–2
L
4 Apr
@ PKKU
2–2
D
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SalPa and KPV-j.
Our pick is SalPa to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win SalPa vs KPV-j?
On our numbers SalPa have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and KPV-j 10%.
How many goals will there be in SalPa vs KPV-j?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SalPa vs KPV-j?
Our predicted score is SalPa 2–1 KPV-j, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is SalPa vs KPV-j?
SalPa vs KPV-j (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 9 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Salon urheilupuisto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
