Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultSalPa to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceSalPa or draw ✓83% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.53
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.37
SalPa vs TPV: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 23 May the Ykkönen brings SalPa against TPV at Salon urheilupuisto. Kick-off: 14:00 WAT. In the table, SalPa are 3rd, among the top four, on 48 points after 27 matches; TPV are 10th (in the drop zone) with 30. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
SalPa, last 4: LLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to PKKU, away. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
TPV, last 4: LLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Rops, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
Momentum favours SalPa, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for TPV.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SalPa 2.2 xG, TPV 1.2 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SalPa 62%, draw 21%, TPV 17%.
Lower-risk option: SalPa or draw (83%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: SalPa 2–1 TPV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SalPa62%fair 1.63 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @4.20
TPV17%fair 5.75 · @5.00
3.45Expected goals
2.23SalPa xG
1.21TPV xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
3–17%
1–07%
3–06%
From our goals model: SalPa 2.2 – 1.2 TPV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SalPa to win✓
62%
1.63
1.44
Double chance
SalPa or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.53
Draw no bet
SalPa (draw no bet)✓
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
SalPa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.36
–
First team to score
SalPa to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
SalPa ahead at half-time✓
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SalPa / FT SalPa✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.37
–
Recent results
SalPa – last 4
LLWD
2 May
@ PKKU
0–2
L
24 Apr
vs Inter Turku II
2–3
L
14 Apr
@ Fish United
4–0
W
4 Apr
vs Rops
1–1
D
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
TPV – last 4
LLLL
9 May
@ Rops
0–1
L
24 Apr
@ KuPS Akatemia
0–3
L
15 Apr
vs Tampere United
0–2
L
28 Mar
@ JäPS
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
0%Both scored
25%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SalPa and TPV.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win SalPa vs TPV?
On our numbers SalPa have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and TPV 17%.
How many goals will there be in SalPa vs TPV?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SalPa vs TPV?
Our predicted score is SalPa 2–1 TPV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is SalPa vs TPV?
SalPa vs TPV (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 23 May 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Salon urheilupuisto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
