KPV-j welcome SalPa to Kokkolan keskuskentta for a Ykkönen fixture on Saturday 1 August (15:00 WAT). In the table, KPV-j are 11th, in the drop zone, on 19 points after 27 matches; SalPa are 3rd (among the top four) with 48. There are 29 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
KPV-j, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to OLS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
SalPa, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to PKKU, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours SalPa, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for KPV-j.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give KPV-j 1.4 xG, SalPa 2.5 xG – a total near 3.9. That is an open game on paper: 75% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – KPV-j 19%, draw 18%, SalPa 62%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: KPV-j 1–2 SalPa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
KPV-j19%fair 5.15 · @5.00
Draw18%fair 5.42 · @4.60
SalPa62%fair 1.61 · @1.44
3.90Expected goals
1.39KPV-j xG
2.51SalPa xG
68%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–37%
1–17%
0–26%
2–26%
0–35%
From our goals model: KPV-j 1.4 – 2.5 SalPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SalPa to win✗
62%
1.61
1.44
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
68%
1.46
1.44
Draw no bet
SalPa (draw no bet)✗
76%
1.31
–
Asian handicap
SalPa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
First team to score
SalPa to score first✗
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
SalPa ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SalPa / FT SalPa✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.28
–
Recent results
KPV-j – last 6
LDLWLL
26 Jul
@ OLS
1–2
L
20 Jul
vs Rops
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs TPV
1–3
L
2 Jul
@ FC jazz
1–0
W
28 Jun
vs PKKU
1–3
L
13 Jun
vs JJK
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
SalPa – last 6
LWWDDW
25 Jul
vs PKKU
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ Inter Turku II
2–1
W
10 Jul
@ Tampere United
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs VJS
2–2
D
27 Jun
@ Rops
2–2
D
12 Jun
vs KuPS Akatemia
4–3
W
1.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between KPV-j and SalPa.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win KPV-j vs SalPa?
On our numbers KPV-j have a 19% chance of winning, the draw 18% and SalPa 62%.
How many goals will there be in KPV-j vs SalPa?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for KPV-j vs SalPa?
Our predicted score is KPV-j 1–2 SalPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is KPV-j vs SalPa?
KPV-j vs SalPa (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Kokkolan keskuskentta.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
