Value bet: SalPa to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSalPa to win ✓55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓72% · @1.35
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7% · fair 14.02
SalPa vs JJK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:30 WAT, Wednesday 5 August: SalPa v JJK in the Ykkönen, played at Salon urheilupuisto. In the table, SalPa are 3rd, among the top four, on 48 points after 27 matches; JJK are 8th (lower half) with 34. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
SalPa, last 5: LLWWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to KPV-j, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
JJK, last 5: LLDLW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Rops, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give SalPa 2.7 xG, JJK 1.8 xG – a total near 4.6. That is an open game on paper: 83% for three or more goals, 72% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – SalPa 55%, draw 20%, JJK 24%.
GG/NG: GG (72%) at 1.35.
Price worth noting: SalPa to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (72%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: SalPa 2–1 JJK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
SalPa55%fair 1.81 · @1.95
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.50
JJK24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
4.56Expected goals
2.74SalPa xG
1.83JJK xG
72%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–17%
2–27%
3–17%
3–26%
1–15%
1–25%
From our goals model: SalPa 2.7 – 1.8 JJK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
SalPa to win✓
55%
1.81
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
72%
1.39
1.35
Draw no bet
SalPa (draw no bet)✓
69%
1.44
–
Asian handicap
JJK +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
First team to score
SalPa to score first✗
59%
1.69
–
Half-time result
SalPa ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT SalPa / FT SalPa✗
38%
2.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
7%
14.02
–
Recent results
SalPa – last 6
LLWWDD
1 Aug
@ KPV-j
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs PKKU
0–1
L
18 Jul
@ Inter Turku II
2–1
W
10 Jul
@ Tampere United
1–0
W
4 Jul
vs VJS
2–2
D
27 Jun
@ Rops
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
JJK – last 6
LLDLWW
25 Jul
@ Rops
0–4
L
18 Jul
vs FC jazz
1–3
L
11 Jul
vs KuPS Akatemia
4–4
D
5 Jul
@ TPV
0–1
L
25 Jun
vs Inter Turku II
11–1
W
13 Jun
@ KPV-j
3–2
W
3.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between SalPa and JJK.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win SalPa vs JJK?
On our numbers SalPa have a 55% chance of winning, the draw 20% and JJK 24%.
How many goals will there be in SalPa vs JJK?
We expect about 4.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 72% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for SalPa vs JJK?
Our predicted score is SalPa 2–1 JJK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.6 goals in total.
When is SalPa vs JJK?
SalPa vs JJK (Ykkönen) kicks off on Wednesday 5 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Salon urheilupuisto.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
