16:30 WAT, Tuesday 11 August: TPV v SalPa in the Ykkönen, played at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass. In the table, TPV are 10th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 27 matches; SalPa are 3rd (among the top four) with 48. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
TPV, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to OLS, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.
SalPa, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over JJK, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (23 May 2026) it ended SalPa 4–2 TPV.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give TPV 1.7 xG, SalPa 2.0 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 68% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – TPV 33%, draw 23%, SalPa 44%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.35.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: TPV 1–1 SalPa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
TPV33%fair 3.05 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.40
SalPa44%fair 2.26 · @2.10
3.65Expected goals
1.69TPV xG
1.97SalPa xG
68%Both score
71%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–17%
2–27%
1–36%
0–15%
From our goals model: TPV 1.7 – 2.0 SalPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win TPV vs SalPa?
On our numbers TPV have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SalPa 44%.
How many goals will there be in TPV vs SalPa?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for TPV vs SalPa?
Our predicted score is TPV 1–1 SalPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is TPV vs SalPa?
TPV vs SalPa (Ykkönen) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Kauppi 3 - Artificial grass.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
