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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

KuPS Akatemia v SalPa: numbers & prediction

Ykkönen · Finland · Vare Areena
1–3
FT

SalPa

WLDWL
KuPS Akatemia 22%Draw 14%SalPa 64% Expected goals 1.31 – 2.40
69%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Strong pick · fair odds 1.45 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.33Odds
2

Value bet: SalPa to win @ 1.80 – our chance 64% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSalPa to win ✓64% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.33
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.83

KuPS Akatemia vs SalPa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

KuPS Akatemia welcome SalPa to Vare Areena for a Ykkönen fixture on Saturday 29 August (12:00 WAT). In the table, KuPS Akatemia are 12th, in the drop zone, on 16 points after 27 matches; SalPa are 3rd (among the top four) with 48. There are 32 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

KuPS Akatemia, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 4–2 win over KPV-j, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

SalPa, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over OLS, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Jun 2026) it ended SalPa 4–3 KuPS Akatemia.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give KuPS Akatemia 1.3 xG, SalPa 2.4 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 72% for three or more goals, 69% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – KuPS Akatemia 22%, draw 14%, SalPa 64%.
  • GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.33.
  • Price worth noting: SalPa to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 64%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: KuPS Akatemia 1–2 SalPa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

KuPS Akatemia22%fair 4.59 · @3.40
Draw14%fair 6.90 · @3.80
SalPa64%fair 1.57 · @1.80
3.71Expected goals
1.31KuPS Akatemia xG
2.40SalPa xG
69%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–29%
1–18%
1–37%
0–27%
2–26%
0–16%

From our goals model: KuPS Akatemia 1.3 – 2.4 SalPa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSalPa to win ✓64%1.571.80 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.171.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓69%1.451.33
Draw no betSalPa (draw no bet) ✓75%1.34–
Asian handicapSalPa -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓62%1.62–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓69%1.46–
First team to scoreSalPa to score first63%1.58–
Half-time resultSalPa ahead at half-time ✗47%2.14–
Half-time / full-timeHT SalPa / FT SalPa ✗40%2.48–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.83–

Recent results

KuPS Akatemia – last 6

WDLLDD
21 Aug@ KPV-j4–2W
16 Augvs PKKU2–2D
11 Aug@ Rops1–2L
7 Augvs Inter Turku II0–1L
30 Jul@ FC jazz2–2D
26 Julvs VJS2–2D
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

SalPa – last 6

WLDWLL
22 Augvs OLS4–1W
15 Augvs FC jazz0–2L
11 Aug@ TPV1–1D
5 Augvs JJK2–1W
1 Aug@ KPV-j0–3L
25 Julvs PKKU0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Jun 2026SalPa v KuPS Akatemia4–3
KuPS Akatemia vs SalPa head-to-head page →

Ykkönen table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Tampere United271665+3354
2Rops271395+2048
3SalPa271467+1248
4VJS2712105+1446
5OLS271188+1141
6FC jazz271179+140
7PKKU271089038
8JJK279711+134
9Inter Turku II278613-930
10TPV278613-1030
11KPV-j275418-5219
12KuPS Akatemia273717-2116

More Ykkönen predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for KuPS Akatemia vs SalPa?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win KuPS Akatemia vs SalPa?

On our numbers KuPS Akatemia have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 14% and SalPa 64%.

How many goals will there be in KuPS Akatemia vs SalPa?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for KuPS Akatemia vs SalPa?

Our predicted score is KuPS Akatemia 1–2 SalPa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is KuPS Akatemia vs SalPa?

KuPS Akatemia vs SalPa (Ykkönen) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Vare Areena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.