Pacific FC 32%Draw 23%York United 45%Expected goals 1.60 – 1.73
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Pacific FC to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultYork United to win ✓45% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.68
Pacific FC vs York United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
22:00 WAT, Sunday 17 May: Pacific FC v York United in the Canadian Premier League, played at Starlight Stadium. In the table, Pacific FC are 8th, in the drop zone, on 15 points after 28 matches; York United are 6th (in the drop zone) with 30. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Pacific FC, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Cavalry FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 5 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.4 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pacific FC 1.6 xG, York United 1.7 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pacific FC 32%, draw 23%, York United 45%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Pacific FC to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pacific FC 1–1 York United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pacific FC32%fair 3.10 · @3.40
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.45
York United45%fair 2.24 · @1.98
3.33Expected goals
1.60Pacific FC xG
1.73York United xG
65%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–29%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Pacific FC 1.6 – 1.7 York United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
York United to win✓
45%
2.24
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.65 ▲
Draw no bet
York United (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Pacific FC +1 (Asian handicap)
73%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.36
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
First team to score
York United to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
37%
2.68
–
Half-time / full-time
HT York United / FT York United✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.68
–
Recent results
Pacific FC – last 5
LLLLL
10 May
vs Cavalry FC
1–3
L
4 May
vs Vancouver FC
1–3
L
26 Apr
vs Forge
0–1
L
11 Apr
vs Supra du Quebec
2–3
L
5 Apr
vs Cavalry FC
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5
York United – last 1
W
2 May
vs Atlético Ottawa
4–1
W
4.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pacific FC and York United.
What is the prediction for Pacific FC vs York United?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Pacific FC vs York United?
On our numbers Pacific FC have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and York United 45%.
How many goals will there be in Pacific FC vs York United?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pacific FC vs York United?
Our predicted score is Pacific FC 1–1 York United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Pacific FC vs York United?
Pacific FC vs York United (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 17 May 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Starlight Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
