Atlético Ottawa vs Forge: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético Ottawa welcome Forge to TD Place Stadium for a Canadian Premier League fixture on Sunday 24 May (19:00 WAT). In the table, Atlético Ottawa are 3rd, among the top four, on 43 points after 28 matches; Forge are 2nd (among the top four) with 58. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atlético Ottawa, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over HFX Wanderers FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.4 conceded per game.
Forge, last 3: WWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Supra du Quebec, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Forge, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.2 for Atlético Ottawa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Ottawa 1.1 xG, Forge 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Ottawa 28%, draw 26%, Forge 46%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Ottawa 1–1 Forge. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Ottawa28%fair 3.59 · @3.60
Draw26%fair 3.90 · @3.25
Forge46%fair 2.15 · @1.98
2.46Expected goals
1.07Atlético Ottawa xG
1.39Forge xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–112%
1–09%
1–29%
0–09%
0–28%
From our goals model: Atlético Ottawa 1.1 – 1.4 Forge expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Forge to win✗
46%
2.15
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Draw no bet
Forge (draw no bet)✗
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Ottawa +1 (Asian handicap)✓
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Forge to score first
52%
1.93
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Forge / FT Forge✗
26%
3.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.31
–
Recent results
Atlético Ottawa – last 5
WWLLL
17 May
vs HFX Wanderers FC
1–0
W
6 May
@ Toronto FC
3–1
W
2 May
@ York United
1–4
L
25 Feb
@ Nashville SC
0–5
L
18 Feb
vs Nashville SC
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Forge – last 3
WWW
13 May
vs Supra du Quebec
1–0
W
26 Apr
@ Pacific FC
1–0
W
13 Apr
@ Vancouver FC
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Ottawa and Forge.
What is the prediction for Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?
On our numbers Atlético Ottawa have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Forge 46%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?
Our predicted score is Atlético Ottawa 1–1 Forge, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atlético Ottawa vs Forge?
Atlético Ottawa vs Forge (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 24 May 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at TD Place Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
