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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

York United v Cavalry FC: numbers & prediction

Canadian Premier League · Canada · York Lions Stadium
1–5
FT
York United 24%Draw 22%Cavalry FC 54% Expected goals 1.09 – 1.90
76%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
2

Value bet: Cavalry FC to win @ 1.98 – our chance 54% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCavalry FC to win ✓54% · @1.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.77
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11

York United vs Cavalry FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cavalry FC travel to face York United on Thursday 11 June in the Canadian Premier League, with York Lions Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 00:30 WAT. In the table, York United are 6th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 28 matches; Cavalry FC are 1st (leading the league) with 60. There are 30 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

York United, last 4: LLWW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Forge, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Cavalry FC, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over HFX Wanderers FC, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Cavalry FC, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for York United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give York United 1.1 xG, Cavalry FC 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 52% and GG at 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – York United 24%, draw 22%, Cavalry FC 54%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.77.
  • Price worth noting: Cavalry FC to win @1.98 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 54%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (76%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: York United 1–1 Cavalry FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

York United24%fair 4.15 · @3.45
Draw22%fair 4.49 · @3.35
Cavalry FC54%fair 1.86 · @1.98
2.99Expected goals
1.09York United xG
1.90Cavalry FC xG
59%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%

From our goals model: York United 1.1 – 1.9 Cavalry FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCavalry FC to win ✓54%1.861.98 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.711.77
Draw no betCavalry FC (draw no bet) ✓69%1.45–
Asian handicapYork United +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.321.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓52%1.912.00
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.451.28
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗82%1.23–
First team to scoreCavalry FC to score first ✓60%1.66–
Half-time resultCavalry FC ahead at half-time ✓42%2.41–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cavalry FC / FT Cavalry FC ✓35%2.84–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.11–

Recent results

York United – last 4

LLWW
7 Junvs Forge1–4L
30 May@ Supra du Quebec1–3L
17 May@ Pacific FC1–0W
2 Mayvs Atlético Ottawa4–1W
1.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
75%Over 2.5

Cavalry FC – last 6

WLWWWW
7 Junvs HFX Wanderers FC2–0W
31 May@ Forge0–1L
24 Mayvs Pacific FC3–0W
18 May@ Vancouver FC2–0W
10 May@ Pacific FC3–1W
5 Apr@ Pacific FC2–1W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between York United and Cavalry FC.

York United vs Cavalry FC head-to-head page →

Canadian Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cavalry FC281864+3560
2Forge281774+2758
3Atlético Ottawa2813411-343
4Supra du Quebec2811512-338
5Vancouver FC2810711+237
6York United287912-2330
7HFX Wanderers FC287714-628
8Pacific FC282917-2915

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for York United vs Cavalry FC?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win York United vs Cavalry FC?

On our numbers York United have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Cavalry FC 54%.

How many goals will there be in York United vs Cavalry FC?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for York United vs Cavalry FC?

Our predicted score is York United 1–1 Cavalry FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is York United vs Cavalry FC?

York United vs Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Thursday 11 June 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at York Lions Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.