Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 4 July the Canadian Premier League brings Atlético Ottawa against Cavalry FC at TD Place Stadium. Kick-off: 21:00 WAT. In the table, Atlético Ottawa are 3rd, among the top four, on 43 points after 28 matches; Cavalry FC are 1st (leading the league) with 60. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Atlético Ottawa, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over HFX Wanderers FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Cavalry FC, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over York United, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlético Ottawa 1.2 xG, Cavalry FC 1.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 55% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlético Ottawa 22%, draw 25%, Cavalry FC 53%.
Lower-risk option: Cavalry FC or draw (78%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlético Ottawa 1–1 Cavalry FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlético Ottawa22%fair 4.64 · @4.20
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.55
Cavalry FC53%fair 1.87 · @1.75
2.93Expected goals
1.15Atlético Ottawa xG
1.78Cavalry FC xG
59%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–210%
0–19%
0–28%
2–16%
1–06%
From our goals model: Atlético Ottawa 1.2 – 1.8 Cavalry FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cavalry FC to win✓
53%
1.87
1.75
Double chance
Cavalry FC or draw✓
78%
1.27
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.69
1.67
Draw no bet
Cavalry FC (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Atlético Ottawa +1 (Asian handicap)✗
62%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Cavalry FC to score first✓
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.53
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cavalry FC / FT Cavalry FC✓
32%
3.12
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.28
–
Recent results
Atlético Ottawa – last 6
WWLDWW
1 Jul
@ HFX Wanderers FC
3–1
W
10 Jun
vs Supra du Quebec
5–3
W
6 Jun
@ Vancouver FC
1–2
L
30 May
@ Pacific FC
2–2
D
24 May
vs Forge
2–1
W
17 May
vs HFX Wanderers FC
1–0
W
2.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Cavalry FC – last 6
WWLWWW
11 Jun
@ York United
5–1
W
7 Jun
vs HFX Wanderers FC
2–0
W
31 May
@ Forge
0–1
L
24 May
vs Pacific FC
3–0
W
18 May
@ Vancouver FC
2–0
W
10 May
@ Pacific FC
3–1
W
2.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlético Ottawa and Cavalry FC.
What is the prediction for Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
On our numbers Atlético Ottawa have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cavalry FC 53%.
How many goals will there be in Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
Our predicted score is Atlético Ottawa 1–1 Cavalry FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC?
Atlético Ottawa vs Cavalry FC (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Saturday 4 July 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at TD Place Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.