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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vancouver FC v York United: numbers & prediction

Canadian Premier League · Canada · Willoughby Community Park Stadium
4–0
FT
Vancouver FC 54%Draw 25%York United 22% Expected goals 1.89 – 1.13
78%
Betarazi pick

Vancouver FC or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultVancouver FC to win ✓54% · @1.94
Double chanceVancouver FC or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.15

Vancouver FC vs York United: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

00:00 WAT, Sunday 5 July: Vancouver FC v York United in the Canadian Premier League, played at Willoughby Community Park Stadium. In the table, Vancouver FC are 5th, lower half, on 37 points after 28 matches; York United are 6th (in the drop zone) with 30.

Current form

Vancouver FC, last 5: LWWLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Forge, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

York United, last 5: LLLWW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Cavalry FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.6 scored, 2.6 conceded per game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vancouver FC 1.9 xG, York United 1.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 53% for three or more goals, 58% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vancouver FC 54%, draw 25%, York United 22%.
  • Lower-risk option: Vancouver FC or draw (78%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Vancouver FC or draw (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vancouver FC 1–1 York United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vancouver FC54%fair 1.86 · @1.94
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.35
York United22%fair 4.61 · @3.60
3.02Expected goals
1.89Vancouver FC xG
1.13York United xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Vancouver FC 1.9 – 1.1 York United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultVancouver FC to win ✓54%1.861.94
Double chanceVancouver FC or draw ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗58%1.721.73
Draw no betVancouver FC (draw no bet) ✓71%1.40–
Asian handicapYork United +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✗68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.881.93
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.471.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓81%1.23–
First team to scoreVancouver FC to score first ✓60%1.68–
Half-time resultVancouver FC ahead at half-time ✓41%2.45–
Half-time / full-timeHT Vancouver FC / FT Vancouver FC ✓34%2.91–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.15–

Recent results

Vancouver FC – last 6

LWWLDL
1 Jul@ Forge2–3L
14 Junvs Pacific FC2–1W
6 Junvs Atlético Ottawa2–1W
30 May@ HFX Wanderers FC0–1L
23 Mayvs Supra du Quebec1–1D
18 Mayvs Cavalry FC0–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

York United – last 5

LLLWW
11 Junvs Cavalry FC1–5L
7 Junvs Forge1–4L
30 May@ Supra du Quebec1–3L
17 May@ Pacific FC1–0W
2 Mayvs Atlético Ottawa4–1W
1.6Scored / game
2.6Conceded / game
80%Both scored
80%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Vancouver FC and York United.

Vancouver FC vs York United head-to-head page →

Canadian Premier League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Cavalry FC281864+3560
2Forge281774+2758
3Atlético Ottawa2813411-343
4Supra du Quebec2811512-338
5Vancouver FC2810711+237
6York United287912-2330
7HFX Wanderers FC287714-628
8Pacific FC282917-2915

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vancouver FC vs York United?

Our pick is Vancouver FC or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Vancouver FC vs York United?

On our numbers Vancouver FC have a 54% chance of winning, the draw 25% and York United 22%.

How many goals will there be in Vancouver FC vs York United?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vancouver FC vs York United?

Our predicted score is Vancouver FC 1–1 York United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Vancouver FC vs York United?

Vancouver FC vs York United (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 5 July 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Willoughby Community Park Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.