York United 39%Draw 21%HFX Wanderers FC 40%Expected goals 1.51 – 1.55
62%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
2
Value bet: HFX Wanderers FC to win @ 2.74 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultHFX Wanderers FC to win ✗40% · @2.74
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.76
York United vs HFX Wanderers FC: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
York United welcome HFX Wanderers FC to York Lions Stadium for a Canadian Premier League fixture on Sunday 16 August (21:00 WAT). In the table, York United are 6th, in the drop zone, on 30 points after 28 matches; HFX Wanderers FC are 7th (in the drop zone) with 28. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
York United, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pacific FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
HFX Wanderers FC, last 5: LDLDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atlético Ottawa, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours HFX Wanderers FC, collecting 0.8 points per game to 0.3 for York United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give York United 1.5 xG, HFX Wanderers FC 1.5 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 63% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – York United 39%, draw 21%, HFX Wanderers FC 40%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.45.
Price worth noting: HFX Wanderers FC to win @2.74 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: York United 1–1 HFX Wanderers FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
York United39%fair 2.59 · @2.25
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.55
HFX Wanderers FC40%fair 2.48 · @2.74
3.05Expected goals
1.51York United xG
1.55HFX Wanderers FC xG
63%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: York United 1.5 – 1.5 HFX Wanderers FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HFX Wanderers FC to win✗
40%
2.48
2.74 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.45
Draw no bet
HFX Wanderers FC (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
York United +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
HFX Wanderers FC to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.55
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HFX Wanderers FC / FT HFX Wanderers FC✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.76
–
Recent results
York United – last 6
DLLDLL
8 Aug
@ Pacific FC
1–1
D
2 Aug
@ Cavalry FC
0–5
L
26 Jul
vs Forge
1–3
L
18 Jul
@ Atlético Ottawa
1–1
D
5 Jul
@ Vancouver FC
0–4
L
11 Jun
vs Cavalry FC
1–5
L
0.7Scored / game
3.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
HFX Wanderers FC – last 6
LDLDWL
8 Aug
@ Atlético Ottawa
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Forge
0–0
D
24 Jul
vs Supra du Quebec
2–3
L
18 Jul
@ Cavalry FC
1–1
D
5 Jul
@ Pacific FC
2–1
W
1 Jul
vs Atlético Ottawa
1–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between York United and HFX Wanderers FC.
What is the prediction for York United vs HFX Wanderers FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win York United vs HFX Wanderers FC?
On our numbers York United have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and HFX Wanderers FC 40%.
How many goals will there be in York United vs HFX Wanderers FC?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for York United vs HFX Wanderers FC?
Our predicted score is York United 1–1 HFX Wanderers FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is York United vs HFX Wanderers FC?
York United vs HFX Wanderers FC (Canadian Premier League) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at York Lions Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
